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NBAsmas Eve Celtics thoughts:
It's going to be rough start to the season. Tatum can keep them afloat but he can't play 48 minutes and there's not enough behind him right now. We're reliant on Smart's offense and that's not a great place to be. (1/many)
It's going to be rough start to the season. Tatum can keep them afloat but he can't play 48 minutes and there's not enough behind him right now. We're reliant on Smart's offense and that's not a great place to be. (1/many)
Injuries and (
) illness are going to be a factor for every team so depth will be important the the C's are more top-heavy than most teams hoping to contend. Also starting injured and then adding greater than usual in-season injuries on top is bad news. (2/x)
) illness are going to be a factor for every team so depth will be important the the C's are more top-heavy than most teams hoping to contend. Also starting injured and then adding greater than usual in-season injuries on top is bad news. (2/x)
IF they are generally healthy when we get to the playoffs (assuming the season will finish and there will be playoffs) the team will be a tough out that is probably no worse than coin-flip against anyone but the (if healthy) Bucks and Nets. (3/x)
However, they'll also very likely be the lower seed and so w/o home court possibly in R1 and very likely in R2. Another bubble playoffs might help teams like Boston but be bad news for the state of society. (4/x)
There's a chance Tatum ascends to MVP-level by the end of the season which continues to be the most realistic path to top-tier contender status. Unlikely but not improbable. If it were to happen, along with general health across the primary rotation, they could win it all. (5/x)
If Jayson stagnates or regresses as the "heliocentric" focus of the offense, the team will probably not be a top-4 seed and it changes/solidifies the outlook. It seems like we'll learn a lot about him this season but then can you draw conclusions from COVID seasons? Ugh. (6/x)
Jaylen is scary, to me. The things he's not great at are the things we need him to do a lot more of. There's a real risk of his being exposed, though of course if he proves he can be an efficient creator, it's star-making. Brad's lineups will be key for Jaylen's success. (7/x)
Healthy Kemba playing at All Star-ish level solves things. Too many focus on the problems his size causes in the playoffs but w/o him we’re going to see how much of a net positive he is. The knee is scary but don't pretend you know his future health status, good or bad. (8/x)
That being said, his performance this season, barring a leap from The Jays big enough to deliver serious title contention, might be more about establishing Kemba’s trade value than anything else. Many paths forward could start with trading him, for a variety of reasons. (9/x)
At least $10-17M of the TPE needs to be used during this season. Most on a player who is NOT expiring. The team needs help this season and the value of that TPE is not going to be nearly what fantasy scenarios lead people to believe it’s going to be worth next offseason. (10/x)
Unless they trade for a for a Beal-or-above level player, it’s extremely unlikely that we're a taxpayer. Using an amount of the TPE that would put them in the tax should carry paired salary clearing to stay below that line. Use that as a budget, not the hard cap. (11/x)
Langford’s injury hangs many things. Establishing a trade value for him could be important. If both Theis and Thompson aren’t healthy (so Grant needs C minutes), Romeo would probably open as a starter. It’s just a bad situation that sucks for everyone.
(12/x)
(12/x)
Nesmith looked fine. He can get his shot off and you have to believe it’s going to go in until proven otherwise. If he’s a 42% 3PT shooter he’s good; if it’s 37% he's fringe-y. That’s all within the realm of luck so who really knows? Brad needs to play him. (13/x)
Quick ones:
Grant: Important! Stay aggressive.
Rob: I love his offense but he probably never makes it here so trade him in the TPE dealings.
Semi/Carsen: use trade cash to dump them for tax avoidance and sign better players.
FastPP/Tremont: Low-stakes Highlander battle.
(14/x)
Grant: Important! Stay aggressive.
Rob: I love his offense but he probably never makes it here so trade him in the TPE dealings.
Semi/Carsen: use trade cash to dump them for tax avoidance and sign better players.
FastPP/Tremont: Low-stakes Highlander battle.
(14/x)
Ultimately I think the C’s messed up their offseason by holding out Hayward hope and not using the TPE on a wing and then getting a big who is worse than Thompson but for the BAE. Thompson is fine though, and could be important in grinding out defensive wins early on. (15/16)
Prediction: Slow start, better finish. In the 4/5 match-up in Round 1. I’m not sure which side of 4/5 they’ll be, but they’ll then win at least that first round barring a major injury to someone in their top-3 players. (16/16)
