Here’s the worst version of the next few weeks. I hope it’s not where we’re heading but suspect otherwise:
The government has told 15m people to stay home, and the rest of the country to have one day, not five, with families. (1/6)
The government has told 15m people to stay home, and the rest of the country to have one day, not five, with families. (1/6)
People get that warning after a week of being told Christmas was definitely on, of having breached rules and travelled already, and either have left London and the South East already or are en route now. (2/6)
London and the SE have a high rate of Covid and quite likely a much more virulent strain, which everyone who’s travelling today or travelled early has just spread nationwide, across family groups, occupations and ages. (3/6)
The result is a “tier four” lockdown that doesn’t stabilise or lower cases but instead spreads to the rest of the country – which would be especially horrible if there’s actually a new strain and it is more infectious (4/6)
Which would mean rather than anything relaxing in January, everywhere moves into full lockdown and vaccination slows as the healthcare system struggles to cope just with Corona (5/6)
This ends up blamed on “irresponsible Londoners” far more than families given mixed signals for far too long and giving in to emotional exhaustion. And yet is entirely the result of predictable government failure. (6/6)