Dec 18

1 of every 35 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died since Feb

1 in 63 in BC
1 in 107 in AB
1 in 122 in SK
1 in 41 in MB
1 in 38 in ON
1 in 23 in QC

1 of every 5 Cdns with C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died

There are 10,819 LTC cases in last 28 days

Dec 18

#Canadians

#COVID19 is in top 10 largest mortality events in Canadian history.

2,709 Cdns died of C19 in the last 28 days. Nearly double that will likely die in the coming month.

#StayHomeSaveLives

Dec 18

Today #COVID19 deaths in #Canada are increasing 2.4% each day

If this doesn't slow down,

4,725 Canadians could die in next 28 days

1,396 in QC
1,012 in ON
935 in BC
757 in AB
556 in MB
339 in SK
4 in Atlantic Canada
0 in Northern Canada

We MUST #StayHomeSaveLives

Dec 18

In Wave 2

1 of every 75 #Canadians with #COVID19 has died

1 in 78 in BC
1 in 127 in AB
1 in 135 in SK
1 in 40 in MB
1 in 86 in ON
1 in 57 in QC

1 of every 9 Cdns with C19 in long-term, personal care & retirement homes has died

Last 28 days: 10,819 new LTC/RH cases

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 Wave 2 CASE FATALITY RATES

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 Wave 2 CASE FATALITY RATES

In long-term/personal care & retirement homes

Dec 18

Since Aug 17 (Wave 2)

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian who DIED of #COVID19
this many ppl died of C19 in other regions:

70: QC
27: ON
119: MB
22: SK
41: AB
32: BC
2: North

For every 1 Atlantic Cdn who died of C19 in LTC/RH,
*118* died of C19 in LTC in rest of #Canada

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 Wave 2 DEATHS

Deaths may be starting to slow a *little* in MB, but are accelerating in QC, ON, SK, AB, BC

Thousands more deaths will come in next 28 days

What we do NOW can reduce deaths in 2021.

We MUST #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 Wave 2 DEATHS

In long-term/personal care & retirement homes

These are increasing everywhere (except the North & Atlantic provinces) & are increasing fastest in MB, BC & AB.

#Canadians this is tragic. We must slow this down.

#StayHomeSaveLives

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 % TOTAL Wave 2 DEATHS in LTC/RHs

#Canadians, we were horrified by LTC deaths in Wave 1.

But in Wave 2 this % has barely dropped. Nothing has changed.

This time we have no excuse. We let this happen. All of us.

#StayHomeSaveLives

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

REGULAR REMINDER of seriousness of our situation.

1. We now have more hospitalized & critical care cases than at worst of Wave 1

2. We're running as few tests/positive case as at worst of Wave 1

#StayHomeSaveLives

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

Hospitalizations/100K across Canada

ON is already projecting ICU capacity crisis. Its per capita hospitalizations are the lowest of the most affected provinces. We are collectively in trouble.

#StayHomeSaveLives

Dec 18

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian diagnosed w/ #COVID19 in Wave 2, this many people were diagnosed in other regions:

35: QC
21: ON
42: MB
26: SK
46: AB
22: BC
7: North

For every 1 Atlantic Cdn diagnosed w/ C19 in LTC/RH,
10 were diagnosed in LTC in rest of #Canada

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 Wave 2 CASES

Case numbers are accelerating in QC & ON, & are slowing but still increasing very fast in AB. Accelerating means they're increasing faster & faster each day.

Deaths lag cases by 3-4 wks. New cases now are deaths in Jan. We must #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 Wave 2 CASES in long-term/personal care & retirement homes

LTC/RH cases are increasing everywhere except Atlantic Canada & the North. This happens as cases in the general population increase.

We MUST reduce new cases by staying home

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 % TOTAL CASES in LTC/RHs (Wave 2)

The following tweets show #Canadians that the tragedy of this epidemic is not only the deaths (and long-term symptoms).

It's also the tragedy of MANY thousands of Canadians who tonight are mourning or keeping vigil for the sick.

We must #StayHome to honour their fear & loss.

The following tweets are an attempt to estimate the magnitude of the impact of the #COVID19 epidemic in #Canada not only on the hospitalized & those who have died, but also on their loved ones, their partners, family, neighbours, friends, colleagues & caregivers.

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

2,709 #Canadians died of C19 in last 28 days
3,506 are hospitalized
~81,000 are mourning
~105,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

897 Quebecois(es) died of C19 in last 28 days
1,011 are hospitalized
~27,000 are mourning
~30,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

650 Ontarians died of C19 in last 28 days
877 are hospitalized
~20,000 are mourning
~26,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

340 Manitobans died of C19 in last 28 days
378 are hospitalized
~10,000 are mourning
~11,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

74 Saskatchewan residents died of C19 in last 28 days
121 are hospitalized
~20,000 are mourning
~4,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

353 Albertans died of C19 in last 28 days
759 are hospitalized
~11,000 are mourning
~23,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19

393 British Columbians died of C19 in last 28 days
356 are hospitalized
~12,000 are mourning
~11,000 are keeping vigil for the hospitalized

For them, and to prevent further death #StayHome

Dec 18

Here is a video by @arslaanjavaeed posted by @COVID_19_Canada, showing recent & pending impacts of #COVID19 in #Canada

I will post French, Mandarin, Cantonese & Punjabi translations at end of this thread in coming days as these are translated.

The remaining tweets in this thread provide the case fatality rates, per capita deaths, cases, and comparisons to country peers (high income, pop >20M) and to Atlantic Canada FOR THE ENTIRE EPIDEMIC (for those who want to see this too).

The Methods slide is at the very end.

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 CASE FATALITY RATES since start of epidemic

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 CASE FATALITY RATES in long-term/personal care & retirement homes, since start of epidemic

Dec 18

Since Feb

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian who DIED of #COVID19
this many ppl died of C19 in other regions:

29: QC
9: ON
13: MB
3: SK
6: AB
5: BC
0: North

For every 1 Atlantic Cdn who died of C19 in LTC/RH,
11 died of C19 in LTC in rest of #Canada

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 DEATHS since start of epidemic

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 DEATHS in long-term/personal care & retirement homes since start of epidemic

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 % TOTAL DEATHS in long-term/personal care & retirement homes, since start of epidemic

Dec 18

For every 1 Atlantic #Canadian diagnosed w/ #COVID19 since start of epidemic, this many ppl were diagnosed in other regions:

20: QC
10: ON
16: MB
11: SK
20: AB
9: BC
3: North

For every 1 Atlantic Cdn diagnosed w/ C19 in LTC/RH,
7 were diagnosed in LTC in rest of #Canada

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 CASES since start of epidemic

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 CASES in long-term/personal care & retirement homes, since start of epidemic

Dec 18

#Canada #COVID19 % TOTAL CASES in long-term/personal care & retirement homes, since start of epidemic

Dec 18

Please note that I don't yet know if @RyersonNIA tracker I use to plot long-term/personal care & retirement home cases will be updating regularly through the holidays (it's a semi-manual process).

It's possible we may have decent updated numbers only by Friday each week.

I will continue to track & report daily on numbers of deaths in previous 28 days, daily rate of increase in deaths & projected deaths in next 28 days in each province based on this rate.

I will also amplify each day the daily, immensely valuable LTC/RH death report from @NoLore.

Data, with huge thanks: @NoLore @RyersonNIA @covid_canada @OurWorldInData

Protect others. Be kind.

Over the coming holidays please, please, please don't travel, don't socialize indoors with those you don't live with, don't shop in crowded stores & malls.

If you can #StayHome