THREAD: I was just talking with someone yesterday about how Michael Beckley assesses China's strategic outlook.

His new piece with @HalBrands raises two interesting temporal (cc: @dmedelstein) questions:

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-12-17/competition-china-could-be-short-and-sharp

[1/3]
Competition With China Could Be Short and Sharp

Over the long term, competition with China may prove more manageable than many pessimists believe.

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/united-states/2020-12-17/competition-china-could-be-short-and-sharp
Is China's resurgence likely to continue over the coming decades, or does Beijing believe that its window of strategic opportunity is quickly closing?

Which trajectory would be more challenging for the United States?

[2/3]
Will the course of U.S.-China ties entail (1) a sharp downturn out to 2025-30 (potentially culminating in armed conflict), followed by a more stable period; (2) a protracted escalation of multifaceted competition that stops short of armed conflict; or (3) something else?

[3/3]
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