My PhD at @geodatascience concerns the causes, consequences and future of European population decline. My first paper (in progress) reviews the current extent of decline by examining 1,871 sub-national population trajectories across Europe. 1/5

@MethodsNW #MethodsX2020

Using annual population count data from @EU_eurostat and national statistics, #sequenceanalysis and #clusteranalysis are used to examine population change trajectories (from 2000-2018) and to produce a typology of European population decline. 2/5

Population trajectories are treated as a series of categorical states (growth, decline, or stable). Sequence analysis allows for the consideration of the ordering, timing, and magnitude of decline within the wider context of European population change. 3/5

Clustering methods allow for areas in decline (n = 692) to be grouped based on their sequence similarity. Results indicate that there are 8 distinct clusters, each representing a distinct pathway of population decline: 4/5

Mapping the geographic distribution of the 8 clusters shows where each are located: 5/5