The GA polls are mostly going to show a seesaw tie until the end. Here’s why I think that both Republicans will pull it out, perhaps more easily than expected

1) Biden ran as a moderate. Trump ran as a sociopath. Both Ds are running far to the left compared to Biden. /1
Voters have tended to separate the craziness of Trump from the downballot Republicans. Even when the politicians have had to pretend to but into Trumps bullshit it appears voters understood what’s going on. /2
Loeffler and Perdue both slightly outperformed polls, while Ossoff hit what was expected ~47%) and Warnock greatly underperformed polls despite being the chosen one. /3
The “Republicans are staying home” theory is not going to be reality. They are worried about losing the senate, period.

Will suburban voters actually back full control of Congress plus presidency to one party? I’m a skeptic.
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