Net Dem-Rep 2016-2020 Vote Swing
(1) Majority **Non-LDS** places
*Salt Lake City +6.9 D
*Mesa/Gilbert/Chandler, AZ +6.7 D
Mesa, AZ +5.9 D
Gilbert, AZ +6.7
Chandler, AZ +7.5 D
*Ogden, UT +2.2 D
*West Valley City, UT -0.5 D
*Salt Lake COUNTY, UT +3.0
#LDSvote #Election2020
Net Dem-Rep 2016-20 Vote Swing
(2) Majority **LDS** Utah places:
*Sandy +5.8 D
*Provo, <1mi. to BYU +3.8 D
*St. George +3.4 D
*Provo +1.9 D
*Provo, >1mi. to BYU +0.8 D
*Orem -0.2 D
*Logan -1.1 D
*Layton -1.5 D
*West Jordan -2.3 D
STATE OF UTAH -2.5 D (+R)
Net Dem (Biden vs Clinton) minus Rep (Trump 2020 vs 2016) vote swing in 1st BONUS LDS precinct!

(1) SLC035 across st. from LDS Church Office Bldg HQ, home to many LDS General Authorities:

2016: Clinton 42-Trump 32 - @EvanMcMullin 20
2020: Biden 60-Trump 36

Net swing = +14 D(!)
Net Dem (Biden vs Clinton) minus Rep (Trump 2020 vs 2016) vote swing in BONUS LDS precinct 2 of 2:

Provo PR11 Wasatch/Tree Streets neighborhood next to BYU, home to many LDS BYU professors

2016: Clinton 24-Trump 31- @EvanMcMullin 39
2020: Biden 51-Trump 40

Net swing = +17 D(!)
More to come on estimates of net Clinton to Biden swing (minus Trump 2016-2020 shift) as a share or ratio of @EvanMcMullin voters by LDS places of interest.

Preview: In Salt Lake City, Ogden, Sandy, Provo, and Mesa/Chandler/Gilbert: Biden/McMullin ratio >50%-80%

Elsewhere: <50%
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