1/Fraud Analyst Finds Average of 2 to 3 Percent Shift for Biden in Counties That Used Dominion https://www.theepochtimes.com/fraud-analyst-flags-pro-biden-shift-in-counties-that-used-dominion_3619566.html via @epochtimes

2/"The man is Ben Turner, who used to be the chief actuary at Texas Mutual Workers’ Compensation Insurance. He now runs Fraud Spotters, a consultancy specializing in detecting insurance fraud."

3/ The difference persisted even after he controlled for a number of factors, including county population and various demographic characteristics. “I recommend we audit the machines,” he concluded.

4/ “If I’ve done something wrong with the analysis, then maybe somebody out there will prove it wrong, and that’s fine with me. I’d rather get to the truth than be right. I felt like if I didn’t publish this, I’m a coward.”

5/ He found that Dominion use was associated with a 1.55 percentage point decrease in the Republican vote and a 1.55 percentage point increase in the Democratic vote in the presidential race.

6/ He controlled for differences in county population, the # of votes cast, urban/rural population split, population growth, international immigration rate, low-education population, high “natural amenity” areas, high “creative class” population, & manufacturing dependency.

7/Later, he added 7 more factors to the analysis, including race, voter preference, & population. Not only did the “Dominion effect” persist, but the probability of his results being a fluke decreased.The effect decreased, to a 2.84-point shift, when he also controlled for age.

8/In his estimation, the results were significant enough to potentially flip elections in at least four states. In Georgia, only about 0.24 percent of votes would need to be shifted from one candidate to the other for the state to flip.

9/In Arizona, only one county—the populous Maricopa County—uses Dominion, but the margin there is so thin that shifting 0.51% of Maricopa’s votes could flip the state. In Wisconsin, 2.05% of votes in counties using Dominion would need to be shifted; in Nevada, 2.5%.

10/ “If you believe the Dominion effect is real, it is not hard to believe that this effect would be greater in swing states and could have swung these four states into Biden’s column, putting the electoral college in his favor"

11/ He showed his findings to about 10 people with statistical expertise, two of whom provided him substantial feedback. Neither could find fault with his analysis, he said, and neither wanted their name associated with it.

12/ A researcher associated with The Epoch Times reached out to two statistics professors at two U.S. universities who both found Turner’s methodology sound, but neither agreed to have their name published.