Interesting paper discussing the difficulty of rooting the SARS-CoV-2 tree - which is something we have been interested in too.
Most analyses root on e.g., Hu-1, but it appears that e.g., WA1 (lineage) may actually be a more appropriate root IMO.
https://academic.oup.com/mbe/advance-article/doi/10.1093/molbev/msaa316/6028993
1/
Most analyses root on e.g., Hu-1, but it appears that e.g., WA1 (lineage) may actually be a more appropriate root IMO.
https://academic.oup.com/mbe/advance-article/doi/10.1093/molbev/msaa316/6028993
1/
One critical issue with the paper - they mention that rooting on non-Wuhan sequences would be inappropriate as that is inconsistent with epidemiological evidence (see
). That's not true - there's a very strong sampling bias early in the epidemic...
2/

2/
... which means that (early) sequences observed outside Wuhan could very likely have circulated (uncaptured) in Wuhan as well.
3/
3/
This also means that choosing WA1 (lineage) as a root doesn't actually place the root in Washington - WA1 is just a representative sequence of an earlier (basal) lineage that circulated in China (mid-November / early-December?) - but was not captured by sequencing.
4/
4/
We're clearly missing a lot of the early divergence in Wuhan/China, which means that properly rooting the tree will forever be difficult - unless we manage to capture some really early lineages / intermediate host sequences.
Discuss... Midpoint rooting, anyone...?
5/
Discuss... Midpoint rooting, anyone...?
5/