THREAD

Fact-checking the preliminary summary of the Antrim Michigan Forensics Report

by Russell James Ramsland Jr. of the Allied Security Operations Group

v2, 13 December 2020

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf

0/
SOME FACTS FIRST

Antrim County, MI, used the following Dominion Voting Systems machines:

- ImageCast Precinct (Hand-Fed Optical Scanner)

- ImageCast X (Ballot Marking Device)

- ImageCast Central (Batch-Fed Optical Scanner)

https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/search/year/2020/state/26/equipment/Hybrid%20BMD/make/Dominion%20Voting%20Systems/model/ImageCast%20X%20BMD

https://web.archive.org/web/20201106231345/https://www.michigan.gov/sos/0,4670,7-127-1633_8716_45458_82066---,00.html

1/
Ramsland "one [USB] contained the software package used to tabulate election results on [3 Nov] other was programmed [6 Nov] with a different software package which yielded significantly different voting outcomes"

FALSE

No tabulation software on USBs
https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/forms/sysexam/oct2019-mechler.pdf

4/
Election data package used by "Dominion Democracy Suite software & election management system software to upload programming information onto the Compact Flash Cards for the Dominion ImageCast Precinct to enable it to calculate ballot totals."

Election definitions, actually.

5/
Ramsland: Antrim County tabulation log from 6 Dec 2020 has 15,676 individual events, of which 10,667 (68%) are errors. Allowable election error rate (FEC) is 1 in 250,00 ballots. Observed an error rate of 68%.

FALSE

The number of tabulation log events aren't ballot numbers.

6/
Ramsland: "1 in 250,000 ballots (.0008%)"

NOPE

Actually, 0.0004%

Numbers, eh.

7/
Ramsland: "Election Event Designer Log shows that Dominion ImageCast Precinct Cards were programmed with new ballot programming" on 23 Oct & 5 Nov 2020

Changing structured data isn't programming.

Ramsland doesn't say whether the cards were applied to the tabulator, though.

8/
Ramsland: Election Event Designer Log shows election data created 23 Oct and updated 5 Nov. "These system changes affect how ballots are read and tabulated"

Actually, CAN affect.

Updates also include ballot imagery, font choices, page layout and language translations.

9/
Ramsland: 3 votes missing from Central Lake after ballots were damaged and cured.

Central Lake votes:

Trump/Pence 906 - Biden/Harris 549

Straight party ticket: Rep. 536 - Dem. 227

Senator: Rep. 933 - Dem. 520

Representative: Rep. 974 - Dem. 457

http://antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf

10/
Ramsland: 742 votes added for office of School Board Member for Central Lake between 3 November and 6 November 2020.

What am I missing?

Weren't they still counting mail-in ballots after 3 November?

Wouldn't the vote total go up as mail-in ballots were added?

11/
Ramsland: 657 votes removed for School Board Member for Ellsworth Township between 3 Nov and 6 Nov 2020

Certainly a mistake somewhere.

But the final results didn't change the outcome.

Mark Groenink was leading on election day and eventually won.

https://upnorthlive.com/news/election-results

12/
Re: School Board Member for Ellsworth Township

Ramsland: "The recount correctly shows 6 votes"

FALSE

Final results:

Mark Groenink: 634
Christopher Wallace: 555

https://upnorthlive.com/news/election-results

13/
Ramsland: change in votes on election and 6 November for State Proposal 20-1

POSSIBLY

But the outcome didn't change.

http://www.antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf

14/
Ramsland: results for a proposal changed between 3 Nov & 6 Nov when 3 ballots were damaged, cured (but not counted) making a tie a Yes win "but only one vote changed on the totals to allow the proposal to pass"

Assumes that the other 2 damaged ballots were for this proposal

15/
Ramsland: votes switched by using different software versions of the operating program to calculate votes, not tabulate votes. Evidenced by using two different software program versions contained on the 2 USBs

FALSE

ImageCast USBs don't contain software, only data.

16/
Re: software program versions on two different USBs

Ramsland: "Our findings show that the tabulator tape totals were significantly altered by utilization of two different program versions"

FALSE

ImageCast USBs don't contain software, only data.

17/
Re: USBs "Help America Vote Act, Safe Harbor provides a 90-day period prior to elections where no changes can be made to election systems. To make changes would require recertification of the entire system for use in the election."

Data on USB memory cards aren't software.

18/
Ramsland: Mancelona township, problems with software versions were also known to have been present. Mancelona elections officials understood that ballot processing issued were not accurate. Used second version of software to process votes on 4 Nov

FALSE

Data isn't software

19/
Ramsland: "The Antrim County Clerk and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson have stated that the election night error was the result of human error caused by the failure to update the Mancelona Township tabulator prior to election night for a down ballot race."

TRUE

See 20/

25/
Ramsland: "The only reason to change software after the election would be to obfuscate evidence of fraud and/or to correct program errors that would de-certify the election."

DISINFORMATION

Election data (offices, proposals, candidates, etc.) aren't software.

27/
"The Central Lake Township tabulator tape totals were significantly altered by utilizing two different program versions [23 Oct & 5 Nov 2020], both of which were software changes during an election which violates election law"

FALSE

Election description data aint software.

28/
Ramsland: "This is clear evidence of software generated movement of votes. The claims made on the Office of the Secretary of State website are false."

FALSE

Structured data which describes an election isn't software.

https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996

29/
Ramsland: Re: laws against foreign meddling in elections, "we recommend that an independent group should be empaneled to determine the extent of the adjudication errors throughout the State of Michigan. This is a national security issue."

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf @ 23

smh

21/
Ramsland: Delfino "inherent vulnerabilities in the SmartMatic electronic voting machines (software which was since incorporated into Dominion Voting Systems)"

FALSE

ImageCast wasn't made by Sequoia.

Trump did well where Sequoia equipment was used.

https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1337860735825817601

22/
Ramsland: "Dominion voting system is a Canadian owned company with global subsidiaries. It is owned by Staple Street Capital"

Which is it? Canadian owned or owned by Staple Street Capital?

23/
Ramsland: 1,222 ballots were reversed, resulting in a 82% rejection rate. Sec. 4.1.1 Voluntary Voting Systems Guidelines Accuracy Requirements: all systems shall achieve a report total error rate of no more than one in 125,000

FOR HARDWARE ERRORS!

https://eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/28/VVSG.1.1.VOL.1.FINAL1.pdf

25/
Re: 1,222 ballots were reversed, resulting in a 82% rejection rate

Ramsland: "this is definitively related to the software and software configurations resulting in error rates far beyond
the thresholds listed in the guidelines"

FALSE

https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996

26/
Ramsland: 68% "error rate" in the election software reflects an algorithm used that will weight one candidate greater than another (for instance, weight a specific candidate at a 2/3 to approximately 1/3 ratio).

DISINFORMATION

(68% was % errors in logged tabulation events)

27/
Ramsland: any operator can change votes through adjudication. "In this case 81.96% of the total cast ballots with no audit trail or oversight"

FALSE

81.96% already explained by human error.

https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996

ImageCast logs adjudications.

https://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VotingSystems/systemsDocumentation/Dominion/2.02-DemocracySuite-SystemConfigurationOverview-4-19_redacted.pdf

28/
Ramsland: log shows "ImageCast Precinct Cards were programmed with updated new programming on [23 Oct] & again after the election on [5 Nov]. As previously mentioned, this violates the HAVA safe harbor period"

NO

Election data, not new programming.

https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996

29/
Fact-checking my fact-checking

Testimony by Sheryl Guy, Clerk from Antrim County, MI

Joint Committee -Senate Oversight with House Oversight

https://misenate.viebit.com/player.php?hash=eSTYCvwj8LWA from 2:36:20

Note: they refer to software and programming but they're talking about updating election data.

30/
There was a forensic audit of Dominion voting machines in Antrim County.

However, Trump won Antrim County in the 2020 Election.

Trump: 9,748 votes

Biden: 5,960 votes

31/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE

This number is NOT the rate of rejected ballots in Antrim.

68% isn't even the rate of errors.

The forensic audit report says this if you read it carefully.

(cont.)

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf

32/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"We reviewed the Tabulation logs in their entirety for 11/6/2020. The election logs for Antrim County consist of 15,676 total lines or events."

Are the election logs the same as the tabulation logs?

(cont.)

33/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"Of the 15,676 there were a total of 10,667 critical errors/warnings ..."

That is, each logged event came with a severity level.

Warnings are not errors. E.g., printer ink running low

(cont.)

34/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"Of the 15,676 there were a total of 10,667 critical errors/warnings or a 68.05% error rate."

Warnings are not errors.

68.05% is not the error rate in the log.

What was the number of actual errors? They don't say.

(cont.)

35/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors"

So, of the 10,667 errors and warnings (not errors), most were config errors.

That is, of the actual errors within 10,667, most of these were not ballot rejections.

(cont.)

36/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors that could result in overall tabulation errors or adjudication."

1) Mail-in ballot adjudication didn't happen at the poll office.

2) Adjudication wasn't done by machine.

(cont.)

37/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors that could result in overall tabulation errors or adjudication. These [6 Nov] tabulation totals were used as the official results."

Logged errors & warnings aren't results

(cont.)

38/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"There were 1,222 ballots reversed out of 1,491 total ballots cast, thus resulting in an [82%] rejection rate. Some of which were reversed due to "Ballot's size exceeds maximum expected ballot size"."

Not rejected outright, tho.

(cont.)

39/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

Quote: A high "error rate" in the election software (in this case 68.05%) reflects an algorithm used that will weight one candidate greater than another

68.05% mostly config related, and includes warnings and paper feed issues.

(cont.)

40/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)

"The allowable election error rate established by the Federal Election Commission guidelines is of 1 in 250,000 ballots (.0008%)."

Actually, 1 in 250,000 is 0.0004%

(cont.)

41/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE

"allowable election error rate established by the Federal Election Commission guidelines is of 1 in 250,000 ballots

... We observed an error rate of 68.05%"

FALSE

Weren't all errors. Logged events were mostly config related. Some feed issues.

42/
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