THREAD
Fact-checking the preliminary summary of the Antrim Michigan Forensics Report
by Russell James Ramsland Jr. of the Allied Security Operations Group
v2, 13 December 2020
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf
0/
Fact-checking the preliminary summary of the Antrim Michigan Forensics Report
by Russell James Ramsland Jr. of the Allied Security Operations Group
v2, 13 December 2020
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf
0/
SOME FACTS FIRST
Antrim County, MI, used the following Dominion Voting Systems machines:
- ImageCast Precinct (Hand-Fed Optical Scanner)
- ImageCast X (Ballot Marking Device)
- ImageCast Central (Batch-Fed Optical Scanner)
https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/search/year/2020/state/26/equipment/Hybrid%20BMD/make/Dominion%20Voting%20Systems/model/ImageCast%20X%20BMD
https://web.archive.org/web/20201106231345/https://www.michigan.gov/sos/0,4670,7-127-1633_8716_45458_82066---,00.html
1/
Antrim County, MI, used the following Dominion Voting Systems machines:
- ImageCast Precinct (Hand-Fed Optical Scanner)
- ImageCast X (Ballot Marking Device)
- ImageCast Central (Batch-Fed Optical Scanner)
https://verifiedvoting.org/verifier/#mode/search/year/2020/state/26/equipment/Hybrid%20BMD/make/Dominion%20Voting%20Systems/model/ImageCast%20X%20BMD
https://web.archive.org/web/20201106231345/https://www.michigan.gov/sos/0,4670,7-127-1633_8716_45458_82066---,00.html
1/
SOME FACTS FIRST
ImageCast Precinct, ImageCast X and ImageCast Central were developed by Dominion Voting Systems.
They were not made by Sequoia Voting Systems which was once owned by Smartmatic Corp.
https://verifiedvoting.org/equipmentdb/
https://www.nist.gov/itl/ssd/software-quality-group/voting-software-reference-data-set
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090716005590/en/Sequoia-Voting-Systems-Assigns-New-York-State-Voting-System-Contract-to-Its-New-York-State-Partner-and-ImageCast-Equipment-Developer-Dominion-Voting-Systems
2/
ImageCast Precinct, ImageCast X and ImageCast Central were developed by Dominion Voting Systems.
They were not made by Sequoia Voting Systems which was once owned by Smartmatic Corp.
https://verifiedvoting.org/equipmentdb/
https://www.nist.gov/itl/ssd/software-quality-group/voting-software-reference-data-set
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090716005590/en/Sequoia-Voting-Systems-Assigns-New-York-State-Voting-System-Contract-to-Its-New-York-State-Partner-and-ImageCast-Equipment-Developer-Dominion-Voting-Systems
2/
Ramsland: "Dominion software is licensed from Smartmatic"
FALSE
Dominion software is not licensed from Smartmatic
https://www.dominionvoting.com/election2020-setting-the-record-straight/
https://www.smartmatic.com/smartmatic-factchecked/
Sequoia (formerly owned by Smartmatic) sub-contracted Dominion to develop ImageCast.
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090716005590/en/Sequoia-Voting-Systems-Assigns-New-York-State-Voting-System-Contract-to-Its-New-York-State-Partner-and-ImageCast-Equipment-Developer-Dominion-Voting-Systems
3/
FALSE
Dominion software is not licensed from Smartmatic
https://www.dominionvoting.com/election2020-setting-the-record-straight/
https://www.smartmatic.com/smartmatic-factchecked/
Sequoia (formerly owned by Smartmatic) sub-contracted Dominion to develop ImageCast.
https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20090716005590/en/Sequoia-Voting-Systems-Assigns-New-York-State-Voting-System-Contract-to-Its-New-York-State-Partner-and-ImageCast-Equipment-Developer-Dominion-Voting-Systems
3/
Ramsland "one [USB] contained the software package used to tabulate election results on [3 Nov] other was programmed [6 Nov] with a different software package which yielded significantly different voting outcomes"
FALSE
No tabulation software on USBs
https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/forms/sysexam/oct2019-mechler.pdf
4/
FALSE
No tabulation software on USBs
https://www.sos.texas.gov/elections/forms/sysexam/oct2019-mechler.pdf
4/
Election data package used by "Dominion Democracy Suite software & election management system software to upload programming information onto the Compact Flash Cards for the Dominion ImageCast Precinct to enable it to calculate ballot totals."
Election definitions, actually.
5/
Election definitions, actually.
5/
Ramsland: Antrim County tabulation log from 6 Dec 2020 has 15,676 individual events, of which 10,667 (68%) are errors. Allowable election error rate (FEC) is 1 in 250,00 ballots. Observed an error rate of 68%.
FALSE
The number of tabulation log events aren't ballot numbers.
6/
FALSE
The number of tabulation log events aren't ballot numbers.
6/
Ramsland: "1 in 250,000 ballots (.0008%)"
NOPE
Actually, 0.0004%
Numbers, eh.
7/
NOPE
Actually, 0.0004%
Numbers, eh.
7/
Ramsland: "Election Event Designer Log shows that Dominion ImageCast Precinct Cards were programmed with new ballot programming" on 23 Oct & 5 Nov 2020
Changing structured data isn't programming.
Ramsland doesn't say whether the cards were applied to the tabulator, though.
8/
Changing structured data isn't programming.
Ramsland doesn't say whether the cards were applied to the tabulator, though.
8/
Ramsland: Election Event Designer Log shows election data created 23 Oct and updated 5 Nov. "These system changes affect how ballots are read and tabulated"
Actually, CAN affect.
Updates also include ballot imagery, font choices, page layout and language translations.
9/
Actually, CAN affect.
Updates also include ballot imagery, font choices, page layout and language translations.
9/
Ramsland: 3 votes missing from Central Lake after ballots were damaged and cured.
Central Lake votes:
Trump/Pence 906 - Biden/Harris 549
Straight party ticket: Rep. 536 - Dem. 227
Senator: Rep. 933 - Dem. 520
Representative: Rep. 974 - Dem. 457
http://antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf
10/
Central Lake votes:
Trump/Pence 906 - Biden/Harris 549
Straight party ticket: Rep. 536 - Dem. 227
Senator: Rep. 933 - Dem. 520
Representative: Rep. 974 - Dem. 457
http://antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf
10/
Ramsland: 742 votes added for office of School Board Member for Central Lake between 3 November and 6 November 2020.
What am I missing?
Weren't they still counting mail-in ballots after 3 November?
Wouldn't the vote total go up as mail-in ballots were added?
11/
What am I missing?
Weren't they still counting mail-in ballots after 3 November?
Wouldn't the vote total go up as mail-in ballots were added?
11/
Ramsland: 657 votes removed for School Board Member for Ellsworth Township between 3 Nov and 6 Nov 2020
Certainly a mistake somewhere.
But the final results didn't change the outcome.
Mark Groenink was leading on election day and eventually won.
https://upnorthlive.com/news/election-results
12/
Certainly a mistake somewhere.
But the final results didn't change the outcome.
Mark Groenink was leading on election day and eventually won.
https://upnorthlive.com/news/election-results
12/
Re: School Board Member for Ellsworth Township
Ramsland: "The recount correctly shows 6 votes"
FALSE
Final results:
Mark Groenink: 634
Christopher Wallace: 555
https://upnorthlive.com/news/election-results
13/
Ramsland: "The recount correctly shows 6 votes"
FALSE
Final results:
Mark Groenink: 634
Christopher Wallace: 555
https://upnorthlive.com/news/election-results
13/
Ramsland: change in votes on election and 6 November for State Proposal 20-1
POSSIBLY
But the outcome didn't change.
http://www.antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf
14/
POSSIBLY
But the outcome didn't change.
http://www.antrimcounty.org/downloads/official_results_2nd_amended.pdf
14/
Ramsland: results for a proposal changed between 3 Nov & 6 Nov when 3 ballots were damaged, cured (but not counted) making a tie a Yes win "but only one vote changed on the totals to allow the proposal to pass"
Assumes that the other 2 damaged ballots were for this proposal
15/
Assumes that the other 2 damaged ballots were for this proposal
15/
Ramsland: votes switched by using different software versions of the operating program to calculate votes, not tabulate votes. Evidenced by using two different software program versions contained on the 2 USBs
FALSE
ImageCast USBs don't contain software, only data.
16/
FALSE
ImageCast USBs don't contain software, only data.
16/
Re: software program versions on two different USBs
Ramsland: "Our findings show that the tabulator tape totals were significantly altered by utilization of two different program versions"
FALSE
ImageCast USBs don't contain software, only data.
17/
Ramsland: "Our findings show that the tabulator tape totals were significantly altered by utilization of two different program versions"
FALSE
ImageCast USBs don't contain software, only data.
17/
Re: USBs "Help America Vote Act, Safe Harbor provides a 90-day period prior to elections where no changes can be made to election systems. To make changes would require recertification of the entire system for use in the election."
Data on USB memory cards aren't software.
18/
Data on USB memory cards aren't software.
18/
Ramsland: Mancelona township, problems with software versions were also known to have been present. Mancelona elections officials understood that ballot processing issued were not accurate. Used second version of software to process votes on 4 Nov
FALSE
Data isn't software
19/
FALSE
Data isn't software
19/
FACT-CHECKING
Vote changes in Clear Lake and Mancelona are due to a mistake made by Antrim County Clerk, Sheryl Guy.
October election data (date, offices, proposals, candidates, etc) wasn't correct for those two townships.
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
20/
Vote changes in Clear Lake and Mancelona are due to a mistake made by Antrim County Clerk, Sheryl Guy.
October election data (date, offices, proposals, candidates, etc) wasn't correct for those two townships.
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
20/
FACT-CHECKING (cont.)
Election Source sent Sheryl Guy a flash drive to upload the election data changes (note that data isn't software).
She applied the changes to machines in the two townships but should have applied to all of Antrim.
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
21/
Election Source sent Sheryl Guy a flash drive to upload the election data changes (note that data isn't software).
She applied the changes to machines in the two townships but should have applied to all of Antrim.
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
21/
FACT-CHECKING (cont.)
"The oversight resulted in a mix-up as data was transferred from the tabulators to the county's main voting software, giving Biden an unexpected lead shortly after 4 a.m."
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
22/
"The oversight resulted in a mix-up as data was transferred from the tabulators to the county's main voting software, giving Biden an unexpected lead shortly after 4 a.m."
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
22/
FACT-CHECKING (cont.)
"The county pulled its results off its website later that day when people started contacting them. Election Source eventually identified the source of the error."
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
23/
"The county pulled its results off its website later that day when people started contacting them. Election Source eventually identified the source of the error."
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
23/
FACT-CHECKING (cont.)
"[T]he error would have been discovered during the canvassing process by comparing the physical tabulator tapes — a scroll of paper recording the results — to the unofficial results in the main software, Guy said."
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
24/
"[T]he error would have been discovered during the canvassing process by comparing the physical tabulator tapes — a scroll of paper recording the results — to the unofficial results in the main software, Guy said."
(cont.)
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
24/
Ramsland: "The Antrim County Clerk and Secretary of State Jocelyn Benson have stated that the election night error was the result of human error caused by the failure to update the Mancelona Township tabulator prior to election night for a down ballot race."
TRUE
See 20/
25/
TRUE
See 20/
25/
Re: human error with regard to vote switching benefitting Biden
Ramsland: "We disagree and conclude that the vote flip occurred because of machine error built into the voting software designed to create error."
WRONG
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
26/
Ramsland: "We disagree and conclude that the vote flip occurred because of machine error built into the voting software designed to create error."
WRONG
https://eu.detroitnews.com/story/news/politics/2020/11/19/clerks-urge-election-changes-during-boisterous-michigan-legislative-inquiry/6346980002/
26/
Ramsland: "The only reason to change software after the election would be to obfuscate evidence of fraud and/or to correct program errors that would de-certify the election."
DISINFORMATION
Election data (offices, proposals, candidates, etc.) aren't software.
27/
DISINFORMATION
Election data (offices, proposals, candidates, etc.) aren't software.
27/
"The Central Lake Township tabulator tape totals were significantly altered by utilizing two different program versions [23 Oct & 5 Nov 2020], both of which were software changes during an election which violates election law"
FALSE
Election description data aint software.
28/
FALSE
Election description data aint software.
28/
Ramsland: "This is clear evidence of software generated movement of votes. The claims made on the Office of the Secretary of State website are false."
FALSE
Structured data which describes an election isn't software.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
29/
FALSE
Structured data which describes an election isn't software.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
29/
Ramsland: Re: laws against foreign meddling in elections, "we recommend that an independent group should be empaneled to determine the extent of the adjudication errors throughout the State of Michigan. This is a national security issue."
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf @ 23
smh
21/
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf @ 23
smh
21/
Ramsland: Delfino "inherent vulnerabilities in the SmartMatic electronic voting machines (software which was since incorporated into Dominion Voting Systems)"
FALSE
ImageCast wasn't made by Sequoia.
Trump did well where Sequoia equipment was used.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1337860735825817601
22/
FALSE
ImageCast wasn't made by Sequoia.
Trump did well where Sequoia equipment was used.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1337860735825817601
22/
Ramsland: "Dominion voting system is a Canadian owned company with global subsidiaries. It is owned by Staple Street Capital"
Which is it? Canadian owned or owned by Staple Street Capital?
23/
Which is it? Canadian owned or owned by Staple Street Capital?
23/
Ramsland: "Staple Street Capital [is] owned by UBS Securities LLC"
https://www.dnb.com/business-directory/company-profiles.staple_street_capital_llc.320a0ee3bac22fe5b3a6778b57506d76.html
FALSE
"3 out of 7 [UBS Securities LLC] board members are Chinese nationals"
FALSE
https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/5766Z:US
24/
https://www.dnb.com/business-directory/company-profiles.staple_street_capital_llc.320a0ee3bac22fe5b3a6778b57506d76.html
FALSE
"3 out of 7 [UBS Securities LLC] board members are Chinese nationals"
FALSE
https://www.bloomberg.com/profile/company/5766Z:US
24/
Ramsland: 1,222 ballots were reversed, resulting in a 82% rejection rate. Sec. 4.1.1 Voluntary Voting Systems Guidelines Accuracy Requirements: all systems shall achieve a report total error rate of no more than one in 125,000
FOR HARDWARE ERRORS!
https://eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/28/VVSG.1.1.VOL.1.FINAL1.pdf
25/
FOR HARDWARE ERRORS!
https://eac.gov/sites/default/files/eac_assets/1/28/VVSG.1.1.VOL.1.FINAL1.pdf
25/
Re: 1,222 ballots were reversed, resulting in a 82% rejection rate
Ramsland: "this is definitively related to the software and software configurations resulting in error rates far beyond
the thresholds listed in the guidelines"
FALSE
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
26/
Ramsland: "this is definitively related to the software and software configurations resulting in error rates far beyond
the thresholds listed in the guidelines"
FALSE
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
26/
Ramsland: 68% "error rate" in the election software reflects an algorithm used that will weight one candidate greater than another (for instance, weight a specific candidate at a 2/3 to approximately 1/3 ratio).
DISINFORMATION
(68% was % errors in logged tabulation events)
27/
DISINFORMATION
(68% was % errors in logged tabulation events)
27/
Ramsland: any operator can change votes through adjudication. "In this case 81.96% of the total cast ballots with no audit trail or oversight"
FALSE
81.96% already explained by human error.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
ImageCast logs adjudications.
https://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VotingSystems/systemsDocumentation/Dominion/2.02-DemocracySuite-SystemConfigurationOverview-4-19_redacted.pdf
28/
FALSE
81.96% already explained by human error.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
ImageCast logs adjudications.
https://www.sos.state.co.us/pubs/elections/VotingSystems/systemsDocumentation/Dominion/2.02-DemocracySuite-SystemConfigurationOverview-4-19_redacted.pdf
28/
Ramsland: log shows "ImageCast Precinct Cards were programmed with updated new programming on [23 Oct] & again after the election on [5 Nov]. As previously mentioned, this violates the HAVA safe harbor period"
NO
Election data, not new programming.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
29/
NO
Election data, not new programming.
https://twitter.com/PootDibou/status/1338683051988180996
29/
Fact-checking my fact-checking
Testimony by Sheryl Guy, Clerk from Antrim County, MI
Joint Committee -Senate Oversight with House Oversight
https://misenate.viebit.com/player.php?hash=eSTYCvwj8LWA from 2:36:20
Note: they refer to software and programming but they're talking about updating election data.
30/
Testimony by Sheryl Guy, Clerk from Antrim County, MI
Joint Committee -Senate Oversight with House Oversight
https://misenate.viebit.com/player.php?hash=eSTYCvwj8LWA from 2:36:20
Note: they refer to software and programming but they're talking about updating election data.
30/
There was a forensic audit of Dominion voting machines in Antrim County.
However, Trump won Antrim County in the 2020 Election.
Trump: 9,748 votes
Biden: 5,960 votes
31/
However, Trump won Antrim County in the 2020 Election.
Trump: 9,748 votes
Biden: 5,960 votes
31/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE
This number is NOT the rate of rejected ballots in Antrim.
68% isn't even the rate of errors.
The forensic audit report says this if you read it carefully.
(cont.)
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf
32/
This number is NOT the rate of rejected ballots in Antrim.
68% isn't even the rate of errors.
The forensic audit report says this if you read it carefully.
(cont.)
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/20423772/antrim-county-forensics-report.pdf
32/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"We reviewed the Tabulation logs in their entirety for 11/6/2020. The election logs for Antrim County consist of 15,676 total lines or events."
Are the election logs the same as the tabulation logs?
(cont.)
33/
"We reviewed the Tabulation logs in their entirety for 11/6/2020. The election logs for Antrim County consist of 15,676 total lines or events."
Are the election logs the same as the tabulation logs?
(cont.)
33/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"Of the 15,676 there were a total of 10,667 critical errors/warnings ..."
That is, each logged event came with a severity level.
Warnings are not errors. E.g., printer ink running low
(cont.)
34/
"Of the 15,676 there were a total of 10,667 critical errors/warnings ..."
That is, each logged event came with a severity level.
Warnings are not errors. E.g., printer ink running low
(cont.)
34/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"Of the 15,676 there were a total of 10,667 critical errors/warnings or a 68.05% error rate."
Warnings are not errors.
68.05% is not the error rate in the log.
What was the number of actual errors? They don't say.
(cont.)
35/
"Of the 15,676 there were a total of 10,667 critical errors/warnings or a 68.05% error rate."
Warnings are not errors.
68.05% is not the error rate in the log.
What was the number of actual errors? They don't say.
(cont.)
35/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors"
So, of the 10,667 errors and warnings (not errors), most were config errors.
That is, of the actual errors within 10,667, most of these were not ballot rejections.
(cont.)
36/
"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors"
So, of the 10,667 errors and warnings (not errors), most were config errors.
That is, of the actual errors within 10,667, most of these were not ballot rejections.
(cont.)
36/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors that could result in overall tabulation errors or adjudication."
1) Mail-in ballot adjudication didn't happen at the poll office.
2) Adjudication wasn't done by machine.
(cont.)
37/
"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors that could result in overall tabulation errors or adjudication."
1) Mail-in ballot adjudication didn't happen at the poll office.
2) Adjudication wasn't done by machine.
(cont.)
37/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors that could result in overall tabulation errors or adjudication. These [6 Nov] tabulation totals were used as the official results."
Logged errors & warnings aren't results
(cont.)
38/
"Most of the errors were related to configuration errors that could result in overall tabulation errors or adjudication. These [6 Nov] tabulation totals were used as the official results."
Logged errors & warnings aren't results
(cont.)
38/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"There were 1,222 ballots reversed out of 1,491 total ballots cast, thus resulting in an [82%] rejection rate. Some of which were reversed due to "Ballot's size exceeds maximum expected ballot size"."
Not rejected outright, tho.
(cont.)
39/
"There were 1,222 ballots reversed out of 1,491 total ballots cast, thus resulting in an [82%] rejection rate. Some of which were reversed due to "Ballot's size exceeds maximum expected ballot size"."
Not rejected outright, tho.
(cont.)
39/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
Quote: A high "error rate" in the election software (in this case 68.05%) reflects an algorithm used that will weight one candidate greater than another
68.05% mostly config related, and includes warnings and paper feed issues.
(cont.)
40/
Quote: A high "error rate" in the election software (in this case 68.05%) reflects an algorithm used that will weight one candidate greater than another
68.05% mostly config related, and includes warnings and paper feed issues.
(cont.)
40/
ABOUT THE 68.05% ERROR RATE (cont.)
"The allowable election error rate established by the Federal Election Commission guidelines is of 1 in 250,000 ballots (.0008%)."
Actually, 1 in 250,000 is 0.0004%
(cont.)
41/
"The allowable election error rate established by the Federal Election Commission guidelines is of 1 in 250,000 ballots (.0008%)."
Actually, 1 in 250,000 is 0.0004%
(cont.)
41/