A 'hidden gem' in China's new 2030 NDC?

In my view, 25% non-fossil fuel in energy consumption could imply faster transition away from Coal and more rapid Renewables build-out.

Tsinghua professor He Jiankun has said RES capacity need to rise 100 GW/year.

China’s new target of 25% non-fossil fuel share is in line with suggestions in Tsinghua ICCSD report from Oct. But the 65% cut in CO2 intensity is less than proposed 68.2%.

Still, to reduce fossil fuel’s share from current 85% require more RES, >1200GW

In this interview, prof He Jiankun said China will need to build 100GW renewables capacity per year to reach 2030 emissions peaking goal.

So higher than the 75 GW/year indicated by 1200GW solar and wind in 2030 in new NDC.

http://fangtan.china.com.cn/2020-09/30/content_76768307.htm

China’s renewables Industry has been rather optimistic in RES development to meet 2060 #CarbonNeutral

China’s Wind Industry association called for 50-60GW annual wind capacity additions.

PV association recently stated 70-90GW solar buildout per year.

Solar and Wind capacity is poised for strong growth in coming years:

75GW/yr as set by 1200 GW target

or >100GW/yr implied by 25% non-fossil in NDC

Obstacles remain:
Grid integration, end of subsidies and recent rise in raw materials costs.