How many times must we correct this disinformation? One more time: you can't compare an incomplete year. And he starts in Feb for 2020!

If we look at the first 48 weeks of the year, here's the data:
2015: 2.488M
2016: 2.506M
2017: 2.576M
2018: 2.613M
2019: 2.621M
2020: 2.926M https://twitter.com/MillerStream/status/1338203809114296321
Bear in mind: for 2020, the last EIGHT WEEKS are considered incomplete, per the CDC (it's even in his source!). And we are missing the last 4 weeks. In 2019, there were 231,000 deaths in the last 4 weeks. There will be more than that this year!
So, even though we only have 48 weeks of data, and only 40 of those weeks are considered complete by CDC, *we still have more deaths this year already than any past year*

Through Week 48 (which again, is incomplete), there are 304,975 more deaths than 2019
CDC is also putting out a predicted 2020 number in their data. Through week 48, they predict there are actually 2.979M deaths, which is 358K more than 2019 (highest past year)

We should be wary of predictions right now, but if you want to use a CDC number to compare, use that
And you don't need a dozen sources to confirm this. It's all in this one file, you just have to add it up yourself: https://data.cdc.gov/api/views/y5bj-9g5w/rows.csv?accessType=DOWNLOAD&bom=true&format=true%20target=
I mean for crying out loud, this guy's source for 2020 is a cached version of a website from NOVEMBER 17TH which the CDC updates EVERY SINGLE DAY. It's a month old, and it only starts in February. So his data is only complete for Feb-Sept, really

20,000 retweets. Amazing.
The inevitable pivot, once the complete data is available
Folks, if you think that government restrictions ("lockdowns") caused a significant portion of the excess deaths, you better have a really good explanation for why South Dakota's deaths are 113% of expected levels... the same as the entire nation

https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/vsrr/COVID19/index.htm
You can follow @jmhorp.
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