The Shenandoah Valley (as defined by the VA department of tourism) is pretty Republican area, but Joe Biden managed to crack 40% in 2020. He mainly did well in the cities of Winchester, Lexington, Staunton, and Harrisonburg (more maps in thread) #ElectionTwitter

Biden did about 7 points better than Obama in 2012, improving in the cities, and Augusta and Rockingham counties, while doing worse in Rockbridge and some of the northern counties

Both of these performances beat Kerry’s 04 numbers, but not in Rockbridge. I believe this is the last year where Republicans cracked 30 point margins Presidentially

And here’s the overall shift since 2004. Once again, cities and more urban counties have gotten a lot bluer, and rurals redder. Buena Vista (red city) only has about 3k voters, and seems more rural. I’d expect the area to become increasingly competitive in coming years

@JMilesColeman @johnrose_VA @Yukongold1898 @vajrpolanalyst @HydeVoltyge