Bengal Elections

In WB assembly elections, BJP will either win 180+ seats or less than 50. There is not way in between. BJP can't win 100 or 125. Bengalis will either give full majority to BJP or TMC. They will never give fractured mandate.
1/n

To know the reason behind this, we need to understand how Dictatorial regimes like those of TMC & CPM work. These parties ensure that all the benefit of govt schemes goes only to those who vote for Party. They never let voters of other party reap the benefits of govt schemes.
2/n

Not just that, these parties maintain boothwise record of voting. If on any booth, people vote against that party, then after coming to Power, they Harass those people with Power cuts, Water Cuts, unnecessary raids of govt officials, non-coperation from govt agencies....
3/n

... delays in issuing govt documents etc. And that's precisely the reason voters of such states never dare to vote for other party unless they have confidence of other party winning elections.

Look at the example of Tripura.
Many people were saying BJP will not form govt.
4/n

They will get max 20-25 seats and sit in opposition. But BJP got majority. Because people of a states which is ruled by Communists for 25 years won't vote for other party to sit in opposition. They will vote only if they have confidence of other party winning elections.
5/n

Had BJP won 25-30 seats only and CPM had formed govt, then they would have gone for witch hunt against the voters of those Constituencies which voted for BJP. Listen to Sunil Deodhar who campaigned for BJP in Tripura & built the party from scratch.
6/n

He could have asked for Security from Modi govt. But he didn't. He travelled across Tripura without security even when there was a threat to his life. He was BJP workers getting killed. But he persisted. He created a confidence in the minds of voters that we are fighting...
7/n

... to win & not to sit in opposition. He sent a message to all voters that we are serious about Tripura Elections & ready to do whatever it takes. He arranged tours of 1 Central Minister each month in Tripura. He arranged 2 rallies of PM Modi.
8/n

He said that people were fed up of Communists since many years. But Congress never showed the willpower to fight elections. They had tacit understanding with Communists & Tripura wad given to them as a gift. He also said that Congress could have won 2013 Tripura Elections..
9/n

... with full majority. But at last moment, the rally of MMS & Antonia was cancelled. It sent a very bad signal to voters & those who were risking their lives to work for Congress. But BJP fought Tripura very very seriously & hence Voters also confidently voted for them.
10/n

And once such Dictatorial regimes lose power, they never return back to power. In 2018, BJP BJP got 43% voteshare while Communists got 42.7% voteshare. But in Loksabha elections next year, Communists could get only 17% votes finishing distant 3rd while a dead Congress...
11/n

... got 25% votes. Similarly, in Bengal, people want change but they will vote for BJP only if they are confident of BJP getting majority. If BJP fought seriously with all its might, then they can easily cross 180+. Bengalis will not give fractured mandate. They won't vote..
12/n

... to keep BJP in opposition. They will either give Full Majority or less than 50. Because if BJP gets say 120 & Mamata returns with even slightest Majority, she will harass all those who voted for BJP. Their life will be nightmare.
So, either 180+ or less than 50.
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