As more outcomes come to light the lower mortality figures we saw reported on earlier second wave @ICNARC reports are drifting very much upwards and towards wave 1 figures

17.1% (mid October - fig 1️⃣)
⬇️
23.1% (end first week in Nov - fig 2️⃣)
⬇️
30% (latest Dec 11th - fig 3️⃣
The mortality for those receiving invasive mechanical ventilation is almost *identical* to wave 1

And that is before we even know everyone’s outcomes (29.8% undetermined outcome)

The mortality for all ventilated wave 2 patients so far is 45.6% (wave 1 = 47.7%)
Of these invasively ventilated patients

- Mean age is 61 years

-70.5% are men

- 89% lived WITHOUT assistance prior to getting COVID-19

- 88.5% did NOT have any very severe co-morbidity
The best defence against covid-19 will be vaccination

Until enough immunisation is achieved (and it won’t be before Christmas) the best defence comes from public health measures

Please respect them

Intensive care is not your best option

(All data via @ICNARC)
It is also worth noticing that the number of patient admitted to ICU nationally in this second wave is now more than 7000.

In mid October it was less than 2000

And these are only the ICU admissions

And we haven’t even had the 5 days of Christmas mixing yet
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