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Analysis
The US Supreme Court has ducked hearing the case of Trump, Texas & 17 other states, on a procedural issue
They did not comment on any recent newsworthy fraud allegations
Trump still refuses to concede, so what are his remaining long shot legal routes?
Read my THREAD: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1337629306919538694
The US Supreme Court has ducked hearing the case of Trump, Texas & 17 other states, on a procedural issue
They did not comment on any recent newsworthy fraud allegations
Trump still refuses to concede, so what are his remaining long shot legal routes?
Read my THREAD: https://twitter.com/realdonaldtrump/status/1337629306919538694
1) There is still this dormant PA Republican Party vs Boockvar US Supreme Court case, but it may remain dormant, since the Court already indicated yesterday that it (understandably?) simply doesn’t want the serious heat on this one https://twitter.com/maajidnawaz/status/1326499388588511233
2) Mon Dec 14th Electoral College need to cast their votes alongside their states’ choice (the crux of the dispute)
Matters escalate if:
i) the Electoral College is tied
ii) “faithless” electors don’t vote for their state candidate
Note: in the key swing states, this is legal https://twitter.com/maajidnawaz/status/1327245711176593410
Matters escalate if:
i) the Electoral College is tied
ii) “faithless” electors don’t vote for their state candidate
Note: in the key swing states, this is legal https://twitter.com/maajidnawaz/status/1327245711176593410
OR:
iii) the House rejects some Electoral College votes, resulting in neither candidate receiving a majority.
iii) the House rejects some Electoral College votes, resulting in neither candidate receiving a majority.
3) If the above long shot occurs (aren’t we already in unprecedented times?) what happens next?
Under the 12th Amendment, when the House meets Jan 6th they can refuse to approve the Electoral College votes. They instead vote on a 1 vote per 1 state basis
Trump wins that vote.
Under the 12th Amendment, when the House meets Jan 6th they can refuse to approve the Electoral College votes. They instead vote on a 1 vote per 1 state basis
Trump wins that vote.
The House has decided 2 such presidential elections, in 1800 and 1824. Congress also stepped in to decide the 1876 election https://history.house.gov/Institution/Origins-Development/Electoral-College/
According to a report by the Transition Integrity Project, a recent effort by researchers to study scenarios that would put the integrity of the 2020 election at risk, "a candidate unwilling to concede can contest the election into January."
https://secureservercdn.net/192.169.223.13/lz3.b02.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Preventing_a_Disrupted_Presidential_Election_and_Transition_8-3-20.2.pdf
https://secureservercdn.net/192.169.223.13/lz3.b02.myftpupload.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/Preventing_a_Disrupted_Presidential_Election_and_Transition_8-3-20.2.pdf
Summary:
we are entering dangerous times with a possibility of civil unrest on both sides of the Atlantic, until Brexit & US elections are resolved
These two matters are philosophically connected because PM Johnson is stuck:
Trump backs Brexit & Biden backs the EU.
Patience
we are entering dangerous times with a possibility of civil unrest on both sides of the Atlantic, until Brexit & US elections are resolved
These two matters are philosophically connected because PM Johnson is stuck:
Trump backs Brexit & Biden backs the EU.
Patience
There’s also a nuclear option
Executive Order (2018):
“(Within) 45 days after the..Director of National Intelligence..shall conduct an assessment of any information indicating..a foreign government..acted with..purpose of interfering in that election” https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-imposing-certain-sanctions-event-foreign-interference-united-states-election/?utm_source=link
Executive Order (2018):
“(Within) 45 days after the..Director of National Intelligence..shall conduct an assessment of any information indicating..a foreign government..acted with..purpose of interfering in that election” https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-imposing-certain-sanctions-event-foreign-interference-united-states-election/?utm_source=link
A senior White House official said:
"It's going to be the longest month."
via @axios AM @mikeallen’s newsletter
"It's going to be the longest month."
via @axios AM @mikeallen’s newsletter
