So... did Joe Biden win the U.S. election?

All 50 states and DC have certified their election results, but his victory won't be "official" until after the electoral college confirms it on 6 January, after the @Omen_eth
market is set to close:

https://omen.eth.link/#/0x95b2271039b020aba31b933039e042b60b063800

What does this mean for market resolution?

It's likely oracle resolution from http://reality.eth.link  will be disputed, so @Kleros_io Court will need to determine whether Biden won by market closure.

If they can't resolve the market to YES or NO, it will resolve to INVALID.

If the market resolves to INVALID then @Omen_eth will pay out holders of opposite outcomes equally.

The outcome of this decision is likely to significantly impact trust in @Kleros_io, and reflect in the value of their token $PNK — but how much?

The cost of the hit to $PNK value if this critical market is declared invalid can also be predicted with its own market using Gnosis Impact:

https://omen.eth.link/#/0x13164a7daf2e5649025ec32ec0c402ddfa2a1cd9

The results of this meta-market can factor into @Kleros_io's decision about how to arbitrate the Biden market.

Through Gnosis Impact, the risk of making a crucial decision is able to spread among those who are affected by the choice.

Those who are impacted by the outcome are able to impact that outcome — futarchy in practice!

What do you think should happen?

https://impact.gnosis.io