Interesting results when we ask people if they would accept a (hypothetical) COVID-19 vaccine...

All across the world, men, people who trust science & people who worry about COVID more likely to say yes.

But the proportion seems to be declining...
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.12.09.20246439v1
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Across 25,000+ people we looked at a range of predictors and find that males, people more #trusting of expertise (scientists, science, and med professionals), and those who #worry about COVID-19 are most likely to say ‘yes’. i.e. strongest predictors in a model...
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...and the most consistent when we look at individual countries/surveys. Notice that #political ideology is only linked to vaccine acceptance in the US... and more recently the UK....
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Here’s how that looks close up. Across two different UK recruitment platforms it seems that the link between ideology and vaccine acceptance has become stronger over time, with right wingers less likely to accept than left wingers. #politicisation?
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Politics aside, one key finding is that the burden of trust falls more on science/med rather than govt. This means doctors and scientists need to think hard about communicating in ways that exhibit trustworthiness. See:
https://twitter.com/alex_freeman/status/1329039477709414401
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General vaccine preferences also play a role - those who would not think vaccines in general are a good idea are less likely to accept a COVID-19 vaccine - but the specific effects noted above around this particular vaccine appear to be over and above that.
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Some important caveats: Samples were matched to country on age and sex - but not 100% representative. Our questions focused on a hypothetical vaccine (data collected before vaccine announcements in Nov)
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