1/ Ontario COVID19 Testing and You (i.e. The Taxpayer)

Conservatively estimated total cost-to-date to Ontarians for PCR testing (incl. asymptomatics)?

Over $350,000,000

At 61,809 tests today, @ ~$52.50/test, that cost you ~$3.25m, or annualized…

~$1.2 billion (with a “B”)…
2/ The province is putting on a masterclass in resource misallocation…

For perspective, the Ontario Gov’t spends ~$4.3b annually on Long-Term Care.

That’s ~$150/day/resident, ~78,000 residents.

We are doing ~62,000 tests/day at @ ~$52.50 per test (again, ~$1.2b annualized).
3/ We should probably ask the question…

Given (i) the age stratified differences in COVID19 mortality, and (ii) that almost 2/3rds of all COVID19 mortality were of LTC residents, does it make sense to spend 27% of the annual LTC budget on mass PCR testing?
4/ It doesn’t.

…to be fair, the Ont gov’t will invest in LTC: in its recent 2020 Budget, it earmarked ~$1.75b to increase LTC capacity by 30,000 beds (not completed ‘til ‘22).

…so your annual testing cost, taxpayer, is in the ballpark of the cost of needed LTC investments.
5/ So just to drive the point home, we are spending on an annual run rate basis ~$1.2 billion for PCR testing, which is 27% of the annual LTC budget, and ~70% of needed long-term LTC investments.
6/ All this spending and resource misallocation (in my view) may come home to roost, as indicated today by the Ontario Financial Accountability Officer…
7b/ An additional estimate here of ~$100-125 per test, given by a #COVIDZero proponent (so my using an estimate of ~$52.50 could be rather conservative). https://twitter.com/jwoodgett/status/1308509069918056448
8/ End thread.

...and another note to the journos…

You need to get to the bottom of three things:

1. The actual all-in cost per COVID19 test
2. The % of tests processed by private, non-public labs
3. The major public lab beneficiaries of this testing spend
You can follow @rubiconcapital_.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:

By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.