2.

His enemies want to paint him as an ideologue bent on going "off the cliff", but he's just a political playboy

Why am i so confident? Because we've seen the same show last year
3.

We journalists LOVE to say we're on the cusp of disaster, which suits Bo Jo down to a tee if he can later "rescue" something from the wreckage
4.

If he can whip up enough Light Brigade bugling, we'll hard notice when he folds on something that would be "unthinkable" for any prime minister
5.

It was also "unthinkable" for any British prime minister to countenance a new border in the Irish sea. Until this same British prime minister did!
6.

I'll look silly if I'm wrong, but not as silly as he soon will

Which is why i don't think a self-serving politician would risk it

And am happy to break away from all the unfalsifiable "it's 50-50" punditry
7.

Normally with these sort of pieces you finish "But I hope I'm wrong"

With this one, it's "I hope i'm right"!
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