For those trying to make sense of today’s $tsla price action: Decline likely sparked by secondary selling and order book fill, magnified by tech sell-off over concerns about excessive valuations (e.g. Doordash). Much of $tsla float in very weak (short term) hands following...

2/ ...48% $TSLA run-up in 3 weeks, and many traders chose to take profits today rather than wait until next Wed-Fri to sell to indexers who have to buy 120M shares. Once $TSLA discloses they have completed $5B ATM secondary, TSLA should move higher into next week’s S&P inclusion.

3/ Many here have underestimated the amount of buying by hedge funds/speculators hoping to capitalize on next week’s index buy in. There is no chance $TSLA soared 48% in three weeks on 2x normal volume on FSD & other catalysts. Today’s amplified TSLA selling confirmed this view.

4/ I continue to believe $TSLA peaks in the $650-$690 range next week before 12/18, as hedge funds/traders unload their positions to indexers. We could see a 10-20% pullback following 12/21 inclusion. I expect $TSLA to resume its upward trajectory once 4Q volumes are posted 1/4.