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. @Channel4News : "The hidden cost of Covid lockdowns"
This vid says the highlighted area of "Non-Covid extra deaths" is "way higher than usual" because "NHS was forced to close up or reduce services for people who had other diseases"
BUT...
1/
YT
:
This vid says the highlighted area of "Non-Covid extra deaths" is "way higher than usual" because "NHS was forced to close up or reduce services for people who had other diseases"
BUT...
1/
YT
:
...is it that simple?
When we look at the location of those excess deaths we find they are all in private homes and care homes.
So yes, they didn't happen in hospitals.
But why? What were the causes?
Fortunately, @PHE_uk has the data...
2/
When we look at the location of those excess deaths we find they are all in private homes and care homes.
So yes, they didn't happen in hospitals.
But why? What were the causes?
Fortunately, @PHE_uk has the data...
2/
... and when we look at the main non-Covid causes of death we find the main one was Dementia and Alzheimer's.
Look how the excess closely follows the rise and fall of the first wave, and remember these deaths are happening outside hospitals.
Why does this matter? ...
3/
Look how the excess closely follows the rise and fall of the first wave, and remember these deaths are happening outside hospitals.
Why does this matter? ...
3/
... The disease & location matter for 2 reasons:
* the fact that in the elderly confusion/fatigue is sometimes the only symptom of Covid. Characteristics already on display in Dementia patients.
* NOBODY was being tested for Coronavirus outside hospitals
HT @fascinatorfun
/4
* the fact that in the elderly confusion/fatigue is sometimes the only symptom of Covid. Characteristics already on display in Dementia patients.
* NOBODY was being tested for Coronavirus outside hospitals
HT @fascinatorfun
/4
So the "Non-Covid" Excess Deaths are, in reality, mostly deaths from causes that can present Covid-like symptoms, but can't be tested for Covid due to the lack of Coronavirus testing in spring.
In other words, untested, unconfirmed, but likely COVID-19 deaths.
/5
In other words, untested, unconfirmed, but likely COVID-19 deaths.
/5
Important postscript
ONS already did an analysis on this in June - and came to the same conclusion... "undiagnosed COVID in the elderly being the most likely explanation for a majority of excess deaths that did not mention CV on certs"
#HiddenCovidDeaths https://twitter.com/NickStripe_ONS/status/1268825098972205064
ONS already did an analysis on this in June - and came to the same conclusion... "undiagnosed COVID in the elderly being the most likely explanation for a majority of excess deaths that did not mention CV on certs"
#HiddenCovidDeaths https://twitter.com/NickStripe_ONS/status/1268825098972205064
