Motherfucker, we know they weren't statistically similar. Biden got a much higher percentage. You're "testing" to see whether my bank account and Patrick Mahomes' are statistically similar: they aren't.
Also, "other things being the same they would have an equal number of votes" is the stupidest fucking hypothesis in the history of hypotheses - and I have kids in elementary and high school science classes - because literally nothing relevant is the same
The candidates are different. A pandemic. Trump is an incumbent President with a record rather than a dice-roll. There's 4 years of additional history and experience and 4 years worth of teenage voters who aged into eligibility and past voters dying. What is wrong with you??
After investigation, Texas's expert can confidently "reject the hypothesis that the percentages of the votes Clinton and Biden achieved in the respective elections are similar"
I ... I'm speechless
I ... I'm speechless
Texas submitted an expert report to say "Biden got a higher percentage of the votes than Clinton", a subject which obviously requires expert testimony, z-scores, and circles and arrows and 8x10 glossy photographs and not just, you know, functioning eyes
"OK, sure, there are lots of different reasons people might vote for candidates but if the same exact people voted for Biden and Clinton then I can't explain the different results" said the actual human apotheosis of 1,000,000 brain genius memes
Now, how about those ballot periods? It turns out there were a lot more Biden voters in the late counted ballots than the overall population.
Brain genius's conclusion from this? The late counted ballots could NOT have been randomly selected
Brain genius's conclusion from this? The late counted ballots could NOT have been randomly selected
No, seriously. He spends a paragraph explaining that sure, he knows that people expected that, because they were coming from heavily Dem precincts and the heavily Dem absentee ballots, but he is not *personally* aware of that. This means an investigation must be done
He also did the same analysis for other states. Shockingly, he also concluded that: (1) Biden outperformed Clinton; and (2) the latest counted ballots favored Biden.
Obviously, this cries out for investigation
Obviously, this cries out for investigation
"Look, if votes in battleground states come in at random, like flipping a true coin, it's impossible that Biden won all of these states, unlike Trump winning them in 2016, because ... wait, let's take that Trump reference out of the declaration, it doesn't work"
This "expert" report is the biggest steaming pile of crap I have ever seen, and I've seen many terrible expert reports in my career.