(1/12) The outcome of the #2020Election was statistically implausible.
“First, President @realDonaldTrump received more votes than any previous incumbent seeking reelection. He got 11 million more votes than in 2016, the third largest rise in support ever for an incumbent.
“First, President @realDonaldTrump received more votes than any previous incumbent seeking reelection. He got 11 million more votes than in 2016, the third largest rise in support ever for an incumbent.
(2/12) By way of comparison, President @BarackObama was comfortably reelected in 2012 with 3.5 million fewer votes than he received in 2008.
@realDonaldTrump earned the highest share of all minority votes for a Republican since 1960 (more than a half century ago).
@realDonaldTrump earned the highest share of all minority votes for a Republican since 1960 (more than a half century ago).
(3/12) @realDonaldTrump grew his support among black voters by 50% over 2016. Nationally, Joe Biden’s black support fell well below 90%, the level below which Democratic presidential candidates usually lose.
Trump increased his share of the national Hispanic vote to 35%.
Trump increased his share of the national Hispanic vote to 35%.
(4/12) With 60% or less of the national Hispanic vote, it is arithmetically impossible for a Democratic presidential candidate to win Florida, Arizona, Nevada, and New Mexico. Bellwether states swung further in @realDonaldTrump’s direction than in 2016.
(5/12) Florida, Ohio and Iowa each defied America’s media polls with huge wins for @realDonaldTrump. Since 1852, only Richard Nixon has lost the Electoral College after winning this trio, and that 1960 defeat to John F. Kennedy is still the subject of great suspicion.
(6/12) Midwestern states Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin always swing in the same direction as Ohio and Iowa, their regional peers. Ohio likewise swings with Florida. Current tallies show that, outside of a few cities, the Rust Belt swung in @realDonaldTrump’s direction.
(7/12) Yet, @JoeBiden leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin because of an apparent avalanche of black votes in Detroit, Philadelphia, and Milwaukee.
(8/12) Biden’s ‘winning’ margin was derived almost entirely from such voters in these cities, as coincidentally his black vote spiked only in exactly the locations necessary to secure victory.
(9/12) He did not receive comparable levels of support among comparable demographic groups in comparable states, which is highly unusual for the presidential victor.
We are told that @JoeBiden won more votes nationally than any presidential candidate in history.
We are told that @JoeBiden won more votes nationally than any presidential candidate in history.
(10/12) But he won a record low of 17% of counties; he only won 524 counties, as opposed to the 873 counties @BarackObama won in 2008. Yet, @JoeBiden somehow outdid Obama in total votes.
(11/12) Victorious presidential candidates, especially challengers, usually have down-ballot coattails; @JoeBiden did not. The Republicans held the Senate and enjoyed a ‘red wave’ in the House, where they gained a large number of seats while winning all 27 toss-up contests.
(12/12) @realDonaldTrump’s party did not lose a single state legislature and actually made gains at the state level.”
— Patrick Basham
#StopTheSteaI
— Patrick Basham
#StopTheSteaI