The Rajnikanth entry is unlikely to make any great difference to the political map in TN!!!

Rajni's yet to be launched party is expected to contest in all the 234 assembly seats.

A lot of the national media thinks a Rajni BJP combo will be a force to reckon with. No it won't!!
One of the major reasons is Rajni neither has a consistent position on issues, neither does he have any ideological position nor does he show any signs of political instincts.

Rajni lacks a strong political organisations that the Dravidian parties have.

BJP is a turnoff in TN
The narrative of no leader in TN parties by the BJP does not hold much ground as the DMK for years made Stalin the future of TN politics.

After the demise of Kalaignar, Stalin has led the party very impressively. He led the alliance to a sweeping victory in 2019 Lok Sabha polls
The DMK and Congress are a strong alliance in the state and have been consistent on issues and present everywhere from environment issues to farmers issues.

While Rajni on the other hand has played BJP's yes man on some of the issues. His most famous gaffe was Sterilite issue.
AIADMK is a divided house and did not have a proper succession plan after Jayalalitha. There are too many factions.

Kalaignar on the other hand was far sighted by making Stalin the future when he was alive. Stalin is known to be a very highly competent administrator.
As Mayor of Chennai and Deputy CM Stalin was a man of his own despite having a legendary father.

Rajni on the other hand is only banking on his fan following and stardom.

He hasn't demonstrated political acumen and neither does he have stalwarts like MGR had to advise him.
The average Tamil voter is usually credited with being very well informed and are unlikely to get carried away by the Rajni mania!!!

Unless Rajni performs out of his skin in the next few months and makes an impact, Stalin is the clear favourite to win at this point of time.
Rajni's belief that BJP maybe the future in TN is a gross miscalculation and a lack of understanding of Tamil Nadu's polity.

BJP needs AIADMK more than the other way round at least in TN.

For any combination to win in TN it will not be possible without a Dravidian party!!!
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