@DavidGauke @jonworth @DavidHenigUK and I have all written that for weeks that politics leads to no deal as a thin deal will be unpopular all round

I admire @SamuelMarcLowe and he is right that economically insane to go no deal I also respect @GeorgeTrefgarne view that we are living through theatre as no deal irrational

I do actually think if he goes no deal @BorisJohnson sincerely believes he can initially blame EU intransigence and gain a honeymoon for 4 weeks with media support

However I also think he knows deep down that consequences of no deal would be continual negative headlines through 2021 so he needs a deal (just when to jump). The cynic in him thinks let’s see how bad the sh!t show is in January to determine how far I give

If situation really bad in early 2021 with food/medicine shortages/ car workers laid off/farmers/fisherman complaining due to new sales market/lorry drivers because of queues etc I can become a hero for doing an EU trade deal

It might be a worse deal than the one available today but who cares I (Boris) don’t pay GDP price and having sh!t show first means no Baker/Farage attack as they will be relieved to still be out of EU

Personally I think this seems mightily risky as you are unleashing forces you cannot control in both UK and EU - plus what happens if not sharing intelligence means a fatal Islamic attack in UK

But Johnson is an adulterer and by definition they take a large gamble when they hop into someone else’s bed - so why change habit of a lifetime

Hence I expect no deal and then panic in January as #borisballsup trends - time will tell

What is certain is that economically UK needs a deep FTA with EU and no way of doing bilateral trade deals with DE/NL etc

Sadly we are living through Conservative party version of the Trumpian lies that he won the election and #Covid19UK no worse than flu

The end