0/ Here's a thread on my macro $btcusd outlook - TLDR: Mostly bullish, with a possibility of short term correction from $23k or sideways PA with $17.2k and $16.2k acting as strong support.

$btc $xbt

1/ Weekly RSI:

Resistance:
$btcusd in known to top out with a weekly RSI value of 87-90. The price corresponding to weekly RSI of 88.5 is $23k.

Support: RSI of 53 gives significant support. Its price equivalent is $13.6k, rising by $500 per week.

2a/ Quantity Theory of Money: https://twitter.com/signals_fintwit/status/1294105077989298176?s=20

Resistance:
The QTM green line is at $22,433, rising by $65 per day. In a week and a half, it's expected to match the RSI 88.5 weekly resistance price of $23k.

Support: QTM yellow line is expected to provide support.

2b/ It is at $14,962, rising by $42.5 a day. Assuming a correction from $23k top 10 days later playing out over 2 weeks, the QTM yellow line is expected to rise by $42.5*24 = $1,017, i.e., to $15,979. If it takes a week longer, the line will have risen to ~$16.2k.

3a/ S2F Mode/25th Quantile of Residual Line: If #s2fmodel of $btc is valid, then the mode of the S2F multiple of 0.66 will serve as support. It also happens to be the 25th quantile of its stationary residuals. $btcusd corresponding to this is $16.1k, rising by $100 a day.

3b/ If the 0.66 multiple fails, the next support will be price corresponding to 0.5 multiple, which happens to be at $12k, rising by $70 a day. In a month's time, it will have risen to ~$14k.

4a/ ARIMA Model (Weekly): ARIMA forecast for weekly closing $btcusd value has 99% probability remaining above $17.5k.

This prediction is similar to @btconometrics forecast https://twitter.com/btconometrics/status/1331980487867305986?s=20

4b/ ARIMA Model (Daily): ARIMA forecast for the daily gives a 95% probability that $btcusd will close above $16.2k by EoY 2020. It also forecasts with 95% confidence that $btc will not trade above $23k (significant resistance pointed out by RSI and QTM earlier) before EoY.

4c/ Of course, when we look at the weekly $btcusd chart, $17.2k and $16.2k appear as significant levels - second highest previous high and close respectively.

5/ DD_Golf indicator, which estimates the cost of mining a #Bitcoin is at $16.9k, rising slightly. It adds to the confluence of $17.2k acting as significant support, in case of correction.