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So, the courts in this country are way more predictable than a lot of people think they are.
So predictable, in fact, that the legal industry has what would amount to the best batting average of all time predicting most outcomes.
It has to be this way. I'll tell you why.
So predictable, in fact, that the legal industry has what would amount to the best batting average of all time predicting most outcomes.
It has to be this way. I'll tell you why.
The law is pretty much omnipresent in most sectors of life. This should make sense- from regulations to statutes to precedent,what you can and can't do in any industry and in any activity is *law*. And weighing action, business decisions, risk, hell, even insurance payouts, is to
So it's not a stretch to imagine what the result of a legal profession saying "who tf knows" to every legal question would be.
Business paralyzed. Innovation halted. Insurance as an industry suddenly, utterly undone. Our already unconscionably high prison population exploding.
Business paralyzed. Innovation halted. Insurance as an industry suddenly, utterly undone. Our already unconscionably high prison population exploding.
You need only unpack the insurance example to see the devastation.
If 5000 people sue me for a denial of benefits now, what do I do? Probably settle with the people who have a strong case, and beat down or triumph outright over the weak ones.
If I can't judge for viability?
If 5000 people sue me for a denial of benefits now, what do I do? Probably settle with the people who have a strong case, and beat down or triumph outright over the weak ones.
If I can't judge for viability?
Pure chaos. Soaring premiums. The denial of no brainer payouts to the ruination of families in need just to preserve capital and the surrendering of precious capital to pay frauds.
Bankruptcies. Wind ups. Companies going under.
Bankruptcies. Wind ups. Companies going under.
Being a lawyer is judging facts, finding more facts, applying to law, and making a call.
Attorneys who can't make good calls tend not to do well.
Attorneys who can't make good calls tend not to do well.
When the entire legal field is telling you a case is bad? It is.
Assessing the strength of cases is what we do.
If we sucked so bad at it that every outcome was "we'll see", you'd be so, so fucked.
Take a breath.
Assessing the strength of cases is what we do.
If we sucked so bad at it that every outcome was "we'll see", you'd be so, so fucked.
Take a breath.
We're not perfect.
Constitutional issues are thorny: partisan shit and balancing tests insert most of the straight up legal uncertainty. Clients lie. Sometimes dudes admit to accusations they're calling defamation in deposition. It's a wild field.
But we're very good.
Constitutional issues are thorny: partisan shit and balancing tests insert most of the straight up legal uncertainty. Clients lie. Sometimes dudes admit to accusations they're calling defamation in deposition. It's a wild field.
But we're very good.
How do most cases end? And by most, I do in fact mean almost all.
Settlement.
A LOT of settlements are the effective equivalent of folding a bad hand in poker.
How would a hand of poker play out if nobody knew whether their cards were winners?
Exactly.
Have a good night.
Settlement.
A LOT of settlements are the effective equivalent of folding a bad hand in poker.
How would a hand of poker play out if nobody knew whether their cards were winners?
Exactly.
Have a good night.
