"The #US change in #Somalia has nothing to do with Somalia and has to do with US politics" - a source
There's also legitimate concern that the #FGS will try to deploy #Danab around #Mogadishu to suppress any uprising at the end of the Presidential election. #Danab was formed to be a crack force against al Shabaab, not to suppress a democratic process.
The Somali federal government recently upset the US by ousting and imprisoning the #Danab commander and replacing him with one more loyal to the current president.
The US gathers intelligence with drone surveillance. My understanding is that the US gathers and analyzes the intelligence before sharing it with Danab and then they act on the findings. If the US is not on the ground, that could slow down the operations, giving AS more room.
While yes, all changes will be slow rolled, kicked to neighboring countries or to Bancroft and then presumably reinstated with the Biden administration, the situation in #Somalia at the moment is so delicate that small shifts will have a big impact.
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