So there are different R calculation methodologies around but I trust @imgrund and believe the public health R values are meant to be shared publicly soon. (I think?)
Messaging is important- the R Basically means the average number of cases infected by a current case...
1/ https://twitter.com/imgrund/status/1335267019336323075

in the conditions we are in. So the projections can change if we change or conditions. Public health restrictions decrease the R to some degree. The actual number of cases daily matters a lot as well. From the healthcare system point of view, with the current case numbers
2/

a goal of an R under one Would mean that cases are beginning to drop daily.
If the R is .99, at 1000 cases a day today would lead to 990 cases, would lead to 980 cases and so on.
So much below one is more likely to help the healthcare system. Even so, changes take 1-4 weeks
3/

So dropping R as sharply and severely as possible is the best option. Even with a wildly successful decrease in the R in Alberta, the current case rates and transmission will *not* be good over Christmas. A lot of families with losses, loved ones in hospital, health care ...
4/

Workers and staff working long stressful shifts away from family, and real worries about capacity for all of the other things that happen to people that need urgent care.
We WILL keep doing our best.
Every extra case can lead to someone dying, one of their contacts dying
5/

Or someone needing ICU care that displaces care for someone with a heart attack, sepsis, or trauma.
Every time you simply decide to NOT contact others you are helping prevent this.

Really.

Choose a quiet, heroic December.
We can’t be “normal” ...yet.
/fin