The panel discussed, but made no recommendation, whether trials randomizing to new therapies vs. physician choice of existing therapies should be done. The panel DID feel that single-arm trials were appropriate, and specified the critieria for clinically meaningful benefit:
3/
So, the minimal clinically meaningful benefit was felt to be 30% ongoing response at 18-24mo, with confidence intervals excluding 20%.

What did nadofaragene firadenovec, the new gene therapy, achieve?
4/
The carcinoma in situ population (the group corresponding to the panel recommendation above), is in the first column.

At 12mo (ie, with more time for recurrences before getting to 18-24mo), there were 24.3% of patients still responding. With a lower 95%CI of 16.4%.
5/
So, two questions.
First, for everyone:
Am I reading these numbers right? The 12mo HGR-free stat w/in CIS population seems to me the most appropriate to compare nadofaragene firadenovec to the FDA panel recs. But are these numbers incomparable, for reasons I haven't realized?
6/
Second question, if I'm not reading this wrong, is for the FDA:

Is the FDA going to approve a therapy that did not meet the specified threshold for clinically meaningful benefit identified by the public workshop panel it convened? 🤔
7/
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