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We all know that math is very hard for conservatives, especially UCP supporters. So when you’re confronted by one with the argument of why shut down the economy for 1% of the population please show this thread. “Think about these numbers and what they mean with an open mind”
“How can a disease with 1% mortality shut down Canada?” There are two problems with this question,
1) It neglects the law of large numbers, and
2) It assumes that one of two things happen; you die or you are 100% fine. Canada has a population of 37,742,154. If one percent of the
1) It neglects the law of large numbers, and
2) It assumes that one of two things happen; you die or you are 100% fine. Canada has a population of 37,742,154. If one percent of the
population dies, that's 377,422 people dead. 300,000 people dead would monkey wrench the economy no matter what. That more than doubles the number of annual deaths all at once. The second bit is that people keep talking about deaths. Deaths, deaths, deaths. Only one percent die!
Just one percent! One is a small number! No big deal, right? What about the people who survive?
For every one person who dies:
- 19 more require hospitalization
- 18 of those will have permanent heart damage for the rest of their lives
- 10 will have permanent lung damage
For every one person who dies:
- 19 more require hospitalization
- 18 of those will have permanent heart damage for the rest of their lives
- 10 will have permanent lung damage
- 3 will have strokes
- 2 will have neurological damage that leads to chronic weakness and loss of coordination
- 2 will have neurological damage that leads to loss of cognitive function
So now all of a sudden, that "but it's only 1% fatal!" becomes:
- 2 will have neurological damage that leads to chronic weakness and loss of coordination
- 2 will have neurological damage that leads to loss of cognitive function
So now all of a sudden, that "but it's only 1% fatal!" becomes:
- 6,793,588 people with permanent heart damage
- 3,774,215 people with permanent lung damage
- 1,132,265 people with strokes
- 754,843 people with muscle weakness
- 754,843 people with loss of cognitive function
- 3,774,215 people with permanent lung damage
- 1,132,265 people with strokes
- 754,843 people with muscle weakness
- 754,843 people with loss of cognitive function
This is what the folks who keep saying it’s only 1% dead, what's the big deal?" don't get.
It's not just 1% dead. Imagine the cost to our country, Imagine the clogged hospitals. Imagine all the loved ones who die or suffer health effects the rest of their lives.”
It's not just 1% dead. Imagine the cost to our country, Imagine the clogged hospitals. Imagine all the loved ones who die or suffer health effects the rest of their lives.”
So please:
- wear your damn masks (and OVER your NOSE and MOUTH please)
- wash your hands regularly
- stay 2m apart.”
- wear your damn masks (and OVER your NOSE and MOUTH please)
- wash your hands regularly
- stay 2m apart.”
