Stat Attack GW11

Thread 1:
What to do with Villa assets and/or Callum Wilson?

With the postponement of the Villa-Newcastle game due to a Covid outbreak, the FPL managers are left in a quandry as to what to do with their assets from these teams.
The popular picks from Villa are Grealish, Watkins, Martinez, so let's analyse them first:

Let's start with Jack Grealish (7.7):
Grealish has been the talisman of the Aston Villa side & has a 55% goal involvement in all goals Villa have scored in the PL
For goal threat his numbers are excellent in his price range. He stands 5th for Shots (26), 3rd for..

Shots in the box (20), 9th for Shots on target (9), 8th for Big Chances (5) amongst all midfielders

However, what seprates Grealish from other midfielders is his chance creation stats to go along with his goal threat.

Grealish has created 26 Chances for his teammates which is only less than Bruno Fernandes & he has created 7 big chances which is more than any other midfielder & only behind Kane

With those numbers and upcoming games against wol, BUR, wba & CRY and 2 Double Gameweeks..

in the offing, Jack Grealish is an hold for me inspite of other tempting mids in his price range

Now let's have a look at Watkins:
Watkins is a slightly more tricky call as he has not been consistent like Grealish & is a bit more hit & miss than what we want as FPL managers

In his 9 games, he has blanked 6 times & has registered 2 massive double figure hauls (19 & 13) in the 3 games he has returned in

I like my mid priced players to be a bit consistent & return regularly than have such high & low spikes personally

Let's look at Watkins numbers a bit:
Watkins stands 9th for Shots (22), 5th for Shots in the box (22), 9th for Shots on target (9) & 3rd for Big Chances (11) amongst all forwards

He has created 12 chances (2nd) for his teammates but only 1 of them have been a big chance

Watkins's numbers aren't bad but there are other player in his price bracket which are smashing him in terms of stats

I think there are 3 candidates that standout in this price range besides Watkins; Bamford, Adams & Antonio

Bamford (6.1) is producing numbers of a premium forward & has been slightly unlucky (and profligate) to have only scored 7 goals till now

Bamford stands top for Shots (40), Shots in the box (36), Shots on target (17) & Big Chances (12) amongst all forwards priced 6.5..

& under. His assist potential isn't great with only 6 chances created but he has still managed to chip in with 2 assists

If you don't have Bamford, I think it could be a good time to get him in with games against che, WHU, NEW, mun, BUR & wba coming up in the next 6

Che Adams (6.0) is another candidate in this range that catches the eye. His goal threat numbers are decent but it's his assist potential that stands out

Adams stands 5th for Shots (20), 7th for Shots in the box (16), 2nd for Shots in the box (11) & 8th for Big chance (5)

amongst all forwards priced 6.5 & under

Adams's chance creation numbers are the best amongst forwards besides Kane. He has created 12 chances & 4 big chances & registered 4 assists behind only Kane in those numbers

With games against bha, SHU, ars, MCI, ful, WHU...

upcoming & Danny Ings likely back soon, getting on Adams sooner could bear great rewards

Antonio made a comeback from his injury last GW & lasted 45 mins. Since Antonio has missed a few games due to injury, we'll look at his numbers based on minutes played

Bamford vs Adams vs Antonio vs Wilson
Mins per Shot: 21.2 vs 42 vs 29.4 vs 43.8
Mins per Shot in the box: 23.6 vs 53.8 vs 35.3 vs 46.4
Mins per Shot on target: 50 vs 78.2 vs 66.2 vs 98.7
Mins per Big chance: 70.9 vs 172.2 vs 132.5 vs 79

Mins per chance created: 141.8 vs 71.7 vs 88.3 vs 98.7
Mins per Big chance created: 0 vs 215.2 vs 0 vs 790

My infernece from these numbers are:
Bamford best for Goal threat
Adams best for assist threat
Wilson relying heavily on big chances & penalties

Antonio > Adams for goal threat & as a result a better fantasy asset

For anyone who owns Wilson, I'd recommend holding as his next 3 in WBA, lee & FUL are as good as they get from an attacking perspective

Please bear in mind that there is a possibility that the Villa-Newcastle could be rescheduled within GW11 or in one of the upcoming gameweeks so make your moves accordingly

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As for Martinez, it's an easy hold IMO with upcoming fixtures & DGWs. A goalkeeper transfer is rarely worth it & with so many other mid & forward assets needing our attention, selling a GK because of a unforseen blank GW is hardly worth it