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#GHMCElections2020 Soo many numbers floating around.. Tomorrow the entire narrative will be around results and results are not numbers... So before any presumed assumptions are made based on results wanted to tweet few observations on these elections which I have observed closely
2018 TG Assembly and 2019 AP elexns taravata keen interest teeskunna polls so let me share what I have observed , analyzed, interpreted..
1) COVID Handling or the lack of it was not a factor in these polls . The govt was judged on other params but this was not one
1) COVID Handling or the lack of it was not a factor in these polls . The govt was judged on other params but this was not one
2) The narrative during campaign was or should have been ideally set by the TRS And BJP attacking the govt in its failures . The reverse happened.. BJP made a mistake(my assumption) in setting the agenda and TRS made it the poll plank. This allowed govt freeway
Not only did that put BJP on the defence it ensured TRS could escape criticism on a lot of issues like COVID handling which would have really put the govt in the spot.. But pushing the narrative to issues that might not be in scope provided trs a good cover to launch..
3) The MOST IMP point of this elexn was that EVERY SINGLE anti govt Vote that was cast was captured by BJP. Not a single vote went to Cong. anyone who wanted to vote against the govt voted for BJP . This is not anti trs vote but anti govt note the diff.
4) Cong could not capture any anti govt vote or put itself on a plank where it could be seen as a force to take on TRS . IF 2016 marked the demise of TDP in Hyd 2020 marks the demise of Cong in GHMC . There would potentially not be anything left of cong after 2023 in the city
5) The Anti govt vote that was cast was majorly anti incumbency vote which the current govt is facing... There is a feeling of Monarchy among some sections of the public and this vote being cast unanimously to bjp showed that the govt should start carefully gauging
Public Sentiment. Many things work pro govt and few do not but given the tough times city has faced over the year and the lack of any ruling a year before there was a sizeable anti govt feeling some vote was lost as the narrative was not proper but this is an Amber if not RED
6) The Floods Handling and the relief money circus would have costed a lot of damage to TRS but the astutely timed polls which were held in a blitzkrieg manner helped in ensuring it did not pent up.
7) The timing of the polls obviously helped the TRS than any other party and ensured momentum continued n
with TRS .. but the general polls are few yrs away and if the corrective measures are not taken it can be extremely costly.
with TRS .. but the general polls are few yrs away and if the corrective measures are not taken it can be extremely costly.
Now the entire talk is how much or how BJP has performed and how it has increased its vote share and started being the MAIN oppn.. well they are the main oppn in Hyd for sure . But how has it really performed will be analyzed once we have the numbers.
