1/ There are 6819 "positive" COVID tests this week in NYS, per @NYDailyNews via @andrewcuomo's press conference, which is justifying he says draconian new restrictions including 1st Amendment violations of limits on who can see Rock Center Xmas tree OUTSIDE. I entered..
2/ this figure of positive "cases" into a percentage calculator: NYS has population of 19.4 million. I entered this in a percentage calculator and got 0.035149484536082%. That would be too low as not everyone is being tested of course. But Gov Cuomo is not presenting infection
3/rates of a random geographically distributed sample of several hundred New Yorkers. Only THAT would show, week by week, valid rises or falls in infection rates. Rather, he and all COVID police spokespeople present rates of positives of TESTS,that is, 148,974 TESTS taken, which
4/skews the percentage far too high, to the 4.5% "positive rate" and thus increase in infection, that Cuomo is claiming to justify vast new infringements on Constitutional liberties. But this is innumeracy. He is not testing general population. He is using a/tests via interested
5/entities: all Rite Aid COVID tests are harvested/presented by Google, for instance, which has seen profits soar since pandemic policy drives all indoors online; he is not accounting for multiple tests by a single infected New Yorker (and now there are many of these as some...
6/people must test regularly to go to work or see relatives) being ruled out as being counted by multiple tests as multiple "cases"; and he is only counting positive results of tests, not random samples; which will skew positive percentages artificially higher since more people w
7/suspected symptoms will get tests than will the general population. So by definition if you have these three grave flaws in methodology you are going to get reliable "spikes" or "increases" as time goes on but the violations of our first amendment rights in NYS and the crushing
8/of millions of businesses is due to actual innumeracy on the part of our Governor, or else if he KNOWS these data are being presented misleadingly, he is guilty of many crimes and we will see him in prison. It is also extremely bad for public health to twist data in this way as
9/ you can't see what is actually working to drive infections down, or consult with certain geographic areas to understand what they did right, or learn in any way how to manage public health and safety for the future or when it is safe to let kids go back to school or not. All u
10/are doing is delivering week after week of massive profits for tech companies and eventually for Big Pharma while putting the health, education, liberty and livelihoods of all New Yorkers at risk.
11/ Also, data r never presented to reporters or the public for verification. @andrewcuomo, @NYDailyNews, may I pls see datasets on which the Gov has based his closing my local Town Hall and forbidding even safe socially distanced OUTDOOR citizen 1st amendment protected assembly?
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