Last night, the Fairness for High-Skilled Immigrants Act (S.386/H.R.1044) passed the Senate by unanimous consent. A different version passed the House last year, so the bill is closer than ever to becoming law—yet still by no means a done deal.

Here's why this matters...

1/
The fundamental problem is stark: 30 years ago, Congress accidentally set the stage for massive green card backlogs that disproportionately afflict skilled workers from India (& to a lesser extent China).

( @David_J_Bier has the latest numbers:)
2/ https://www.cato.org/blog/employment-based-green-card-backlog-hits-12-million-2020
No single country is allowed to account for >7% of the annual green card caps, including both employment-based & family-based.

That means there's no single "line" to get a green card—there are many lines, with wildly different wait times, depending on country of origin.

4/
Temporary workers from India found themselves squeezed by this country-based bottleneck & in an ever-lengthening green card queue.

Congress passed a half-measure in 2000 allowing indefinite H-1B extensions for those in the queue.

5/ https://www.shusterman.com/ac21faqins/ 
There are two major steps toward getting an employment-based green card:

1) Approval of employer sponsorship
2) Approval of green card application

For most people, these two steps happen not too far apart.

For Indian H-1B workers, the gap is decades & getting worse.

6/
So now we have over a million people living & working in the US, with a *gov't-approved green card sponsorship,* who would have gotten permanent residency & become US citizens by now, but for their country of origin.

Not only is this unfair; it's causing real harm.

7/
Imagine being stuck on an H-1B visa while awaiting permanent residency.

Your immigration status—& your place in the green card line—largely depend on staying in the good graces of your current employer.

Forget about rocking the boat by demanding a raise or blowing a whistle.
8/
One obvious solution: Eliminate the country caps on employment-based green cards!

In 2011, just such a bill passed the House, 389-15.

In 2013, comprehensive immigration reform would've solved it, but House Republicans spiked the Senate bill.

10/ https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/why-immigration-reform-died-congress-n145276
The House passed a country caps bill again last year, 365-65.

But getting unanimous consent in the Senate means horse-trading with up to 100 Senators, so the version that passed last night is loaded up with new provisions.

Let's have a look...

11/ https://www.congress.gov/amendment/116th-congress/senate-amendment/2690/text
Sec. 2:

*No more employment-based country cap, but phased in over 10 years

*Family-based country cap increased to 15%

*For 7 years, nurses (& physical therapists) get no fewer than 4,400 green cards

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Sec. 3-6: A bunch of protections against misuse of the H-1B program, many long sought by Sen. Durbin (D-IL) & Sen. Grassley (R-IA).

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Sec. 7: Most people with an approved employer sponsorship can file early for a green card—they may still have to wait a long time to actually become permanent residents, but will have much-improved job portability in the meantime. This is a big deal.

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Sec. 8: Limits the number of employment-based green cards that can go to H-1B workers & their families to 70% of the total, dropping to 50% after 9 years.

This is new. And seemingly arbitrary, with who knows what adverse consequences down the road.

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Sec. 9: A new provision that bans anyone "affiliated with" the Chinese military or Chinese Communist Party. This is bound to be highly controversial.

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Politically, this is how we got here:

The best solution would be to just provide more green cards every year, but Republicans are sworn to some unwritten @GroverNorquist-style vow to never allow more green cards on net.

17/
In the world of immigration reform, even seemingly narrow legislative fixes are relatively rare & difficult to enact.

If a reasonable compromise isn't signed by Trump, hopefully there's a chance to enact an enduring solution to this vexing problem in the next Congress.

19/19
You can follow @doug_rand.
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