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Main focus of today in education is the 2020/21 exam arrangement, but some thoughts on today's ITT Census figures
Total ITT entrants up 23% on last year, even higher than UCAS data was suggesting in the summer, which we reported on in September
https://www.nfer.ac.uk/the-impact-of-covid-19-on-initial-teacher-training/
Total ITT entrants up 23% on last year, even higher than UCAS data was suggesting in the summer, which we reported on in September
https://www.nfer.ac.uk/the-impact-of-covid-19-on-initial-teacher-training/
In our report we estimated recruitment vs target by subject. Here's how our predictions, based on August data, compare to the actual data. Not bad, eh?
(btw, that's a 45° line, not best fit)
(btw, that's a 45° line, not best fit)
But in our report we also pointed out that these are underestimates of recruitment vs *need*, because the targets are based on a leaving rate estimated back in summer 2019
We now expect leaving rates to be lower this year, so relative to need in Sep21, we're doing even better
We now expect leaving rates to be lower this year, so relative to need in Sep21, we're doing even better
So well done to the ITT sector for accommodating more trainees and enabling them to enrol, delivering during Covid, and all while it has been challenging to secure training placements in schools, who are also dealing with a lot this year
But this boost to recruitment and retention will only last as long as there is turbulence and uncertainty in the wider labour market, unless we follow through on making teaching an attractive profession over the long-term, on both pay and working conditions
