Read on Twitter
While today's AZ reported covid numbers are inflated by holiday weekend catchup, the "epi curve"—cases shown by the actual date the tests were drawn—is alarming too. New all-time high of 5,574 positives from tests Nov. 23 (~78/100k population), above our previous June 29 peak.
While it's true more tests were given Nov. 23 than during that world-leading June spike (about 40% more), it's still alarming. Rising fast, as is % positivity of people taking diagnostic tests, which rose to 14% last week.
AZ hospitalizations are spiking, too. They lag 1-2 weeks behind new cases (they previously peaked around July 13); inpatient covid census is back to the levels of June 24-25 and rising similarly fast.
AZ covid deaths are still relatively low (they obviously lag still further, about 3-4 weeks behind cases, and the reporting lags still more) but have begun rising. The rolling 7-day average of reported deaths is 25/day; the recent epi peak (by date of death) is 32 on November 17.
It's even worse here in Yavapai County, which got off relatively lightly until now. Per AZDHS, our 7-day avg of newly reported cases is 147/day, or 63 per 100k population. Our peak "epi curve" day so far was Nov. 23 with 233 positive tests drawn—one in every 1,000 residents.
Yavapai's positivity rate among people taking diagnostic tests is spiking too. For last week, the week of November 22, it just hit 20% (still missing some
tests drawn Friday and Saturday as the results trickle in).
tests drawn Friday and Saturday as the results trickle in).
Here's the link to @AZDHS's daily covid dashboard. Lots of good information. https://www.azdhs.gov/preparedness/epidemiology-disease-control/infectious-disease-epidemiology/covid-19/dashboards/index.php
Yavapai County Community Health's weekday covid dashboard is up, and it's not good.
https://www.yavapai.us/chs/
https://www.yavapai.us/chs/
1,044 new cases reported in a week, daily avg 149/day or 64/100k population. 60 covid inpatients in Yavapai Regional Medical Center's two campuses in Prescott and Prescott Valley, a big jump in a day from 45. Four more in Prescott's VA hospital, 22 in Verde Valley in Cottonwood.
