The biggest Brexit risk of coming months is a UK government which does not believe the EU or US really care about the UK breaching the Withdrawal Agreement, or will understand the government's (unique) point of view on what it signed.
UK government ministers can repeat their mentions of protecting the Good Friday Agreement as much as they like, the EU, Ireland, and the US disagree profoundly that proposed UK government measures achieve this, and for very good reason. https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1333786009394319360
To be entirely blunt, UK threats to renege on the Northern Ireland protocol look to the EU and US like a government who care nothing whatsoever about Northern Ireland peace which they have put secondary to the purest Brexit possible. https://twitter.com/faisalislam/status/1333787024172597256
I fear that the UK government have convinced themselves and political reporters that their rather convenient interpretation of the Northern Ireland protocol, that it would be replaced by an FTA, is not a big deal to others, and are surprised this isn't the case.
And lest you think I am favouring one Northern Ireland community over another, it was the response of the DUP to the Northern Ireland Protocol last year, and the government's response in turn, that provided the first indication that all would not be well.
A government prepared to risk peace in Northern Ireland, and take on the EU and US in breaching an international treaty it signed and won an election on, is a very dangerous one for the UK. As even prominent Brexiteers in the House of Lords recognised.
Every political pressure should be put on the government with regard to respect for treaties applying to Northern Ireland. Because right now this appears the single most reckless act of UK international policy in modern history.
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