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1/ This is a bit of sports news w/ fascinating implications. An elite athlete is going to walk more or less off the street and play NFL QB. Tomorrow will rebuke a lot of armchair quarterbacking. Most interestingly though, it will provide real insights into how we evaluate talent. https://twitter.com/RapSheet/status/1332833393638256648
2/ One of our biggest blindspots is in believing we evaluate things absolutely when we evaluate relatively. We may think we work with talented or incompetent people, but that evaluation is entirely relative. A great engineer can come along and shatter our notions of what great is
3/ Tomorrow is an opportunity to shatter those fields of relativity in evaluating one kind of talent. Anyone who is a fan of football should be asking themselves how they can update their mental models of NFL talent based on what they see.
4/ We exclusively judge talent on a relative basis, but we will be comparing a non-pro to pros. A good athlete is trying to do a pro's job. How good are pro QB's at their jobs? How good can a largely untrained individual be at what is considered one of the hardest jobs in sports?
5/ Answering this question could also lead to other questions: How has the gap between a non-professional and a professional changed over time? Are the pro's today *relatively* better than the pro's of 30 years ago?
6/ How will the coaches adapt to such a large wrench in strategy? There will probably be plays, moments, and decisions that are a reflection of this bizarre situation and it should be fascinating to see.
7/ From the lens of understanding the true talent of pros and difficulty of the game, tomorrow is a unique opportunity to get insight. It will reveal how bad we truly are at absolute evaluation and how we use relative talent to evaluate things.
Tomorrow will be fascinating.
Tomorrow will be fascinating.
