Last year #Guaita only saved 36% of the close range 1v1s he faced (only #Kepa & #DeGea were lower)

This is because he rarely forms a premeditated barrier before the shot is struck so gives himself no chance of making the save!

This weakness was exposed again tonight.

#PALNEW
When shots are from close range there is simply not enough time for a GK to react therefore they have to get close to the striker & form a premeditated barrier & shrink the effective goal area & force the striker to “just hit the ball at them”

As the images below show
I analysed 800+ 1v1s in the #PremierLeague last year & using a logistic regression model found that the engage & react strategy that #Guiata regularly employs gives a GK a far lower chance of making the save vs the engage & block & the engage & spread premediated strategies.
To be clear I think #Guaita is a top GK & is a big reason #CrystalPalace are still a #PremierLeague club, I just found & wanted to highlight a particular weakness in his game.

See my pinned tweet for more details on 1v1 strategies:

https://twitter.com/jhdharrison1/status/1273312389233082369?s=21 https://twitter.com/jhdharrison1/status/1273312389233082369
You can follow @Jhdharrison1.
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