Some years ago Webb County, Texas asked me to look at a primary election where they had some strange reports from people. It was done entirely on ES&S iVotronic electronic voting machines. I found a number of grave irregularities, including machines being zeroed mid-election! 1/

This research ultimately wound up being presented at DEF CON, and was I believe DEF CON's first presentation on the risks of electronic voting machines. So, yes: I did discover irregularities in electronic elections for a living, and really do have a publication record. 2/

One of the things I emphatically did *NOT* do was detect fraud.

Fraud is a crime. Proving a crime happened requires boots-on-the-ground legwork. You don't prove a crime from reading numbers and logs. It's irresponsible to claim otherwise. 3/

What I did was detect anomalies and tell the local political parties and law-enforcement, "these machines were reset midway through the election without any justification: that's shady, this deserves an investigation." 4/

What I notice *the most* about these claimed "statistical analyses" of 2020 results isn't their technical errors: it's their readiness to leap immediately to conclusions of criminal activity *without doing any investigation whatsoever*. 5/

That willingness to jump straight to fraud strongly suggests to me it's motivated reasoning -- and any stats nerd will tell you that if you know what you're looking for, of course you can torture the data into agreeing with you. 6/

Finally: I shouldn't have to yell this, but apparently I do.

SAYING THESE ANALYSES ARE UNCONVINCING IS NOT THE SAME AS SAYING THE ELECTION WAS DEFINITELY CLEAN.

I'm not stating the election was clean. I'm stating these analyses are insufficient to prove it dirty. 7/7