#GW10 Captaincy Thread

Last week's 1st choice pick was Werner 2nd choice Bruno let's go

1) VARDY v FUL

More than just a penalty merchant? npxG90 stats:
9th since GW2*
2nd since GW6**

*350 min+
**200 min+

#FPL #FPLCommunity Stats @FFH_HQ

1) VARDY v FUL

Since GW6 FUL are 3rd worst for xGC, with an xGC of 7.56 (behind EVE, 7.61 & SHU, 8.85)
FUL have only 1 CS all season - v WBA
Vardy played 30 min v Braga, scored late equaliser
LEI inconsistent - losing 3-0 to WHU & 1-0 to AVL after beating MCI 5-2

2) FERNANDES v SOU

Most pts since GW5 (44, ahead of Kane 40)
2nd for xA since GW5, 2.52, only behind Grealish, 2.87
npxG since GW5 of 1.44, outside top 20, near Salah, 1.71, ahead of Sterling, 1.25
Since conceding 5 to TOT, Saints conceded only 7, joint 2nd lowest w CHE

2) FERNANDES v SOU

Saints conceded 3 v CHE, 3 v AVL, fixtures apart from that since GW3 have been largely favourable. MUN could test their defence
Bruno defies stats : 34 goal contributions in 35 games
Relies on pens - but United get pens

3) DE BRUYNE / STERLING v BUR

Stats aren't great. Sterling has less npxG since GW5 than Bruno (1.25 v 1.44), and doesn't have pens
KDB npxG of 0.36 since GW7 - in the region of Lookman & Barkley
KDB doesn't compare favourably with cheaper options https://twitter.com/FPL_Banger/status/1331561355921424384?s=19

3) DE BRUYNE / STERLING

POPE expected to miss the game thru injury (altho not confirmed)
Burnley have conceded 70 shots since GW5, joint 4th worst with Palace
Burnley conceded 4G v LEI, 3G v CHE
MCI have not scored 2+ goals since GW3

4) SALAH / MANE / JOTA v BHA

Jota 3rd for npxG90 since GW5 (behind Vardy, Bamford), Mane 7th, Salah 18th
BHA 2nd lowest for xGC since GW2, only behind CHE
BHA conceded 12G, 21SoT (WBA: 15G, 49SoT) = concede cheap goals

4) SALAH / MANE / JOTA V BHA

LIV very sluggish in 2-0 defeat to ATA despite Mane and Salah starting, but plenty of other changes made, starting XI should do better v BHA

LIV have only had 2 days rest, and we don't know if Salah is suffering any after-effects

5) DCL v LEE

10G in 9 games, Richarlison's return increases chance creation
LEE have conceded 13G (same as SHU, CRY)
Since GW5, LEE joint 3rd worst for goals conceded with SHU
EVE dropped off in 2nd half v FUL to defend their lead - may do so again to cope w LEE attack

6) OUR PICKS

VARDY - It's Fulham
SALAH - LIV to bounce back
BRUNO - tough game but returns so often it's not funny
JOTA - rested, BHA concede cheaply

Not sold on City yet

*Pod listeners know Sam on Bruno, Siva on Salah (no £ for Vardy)

#FPL https://twitter.com/FPL_Banger/status/1331511128870948864?s=19

**LATE UPDATE**

Sam still on Bruno. Siva has switched to Vardy (subject to any unexpected news during tonight's pressers)

Good luck all

#FPL #FPLCommunity