predictions of Biden’s policy towards the PRC. Based on Chinese experts and journalists' latest publications.
A thread

OPPORTUNITIES:
Difficult to imagine Biden being “tougher” on China than Trump
Biden administration will be more professional, less emotional
1/6

There would be a room for talks/negotiations
Biden’s Taiwan policy will be more balanced than Trump’s, crossing red-lines less likely
Less focus on Chinese apps such as Tik-Tok and/or WeChat
Opportunity for combating jointly the COVID-19. It is Biden’s priority
2/6

Biden will focus on domestic issues which creates an opportunity for China for "breathing room"
Opportunity for cooperation on climate as Biden wants the US be back to the Paris Agreement
Biden will focus more on competition with China rather than full-scale decoupling
3/6

Better transatlantic cooperation does not mean that the EU will fully follow the US approach. EU’s strategic autonomy concept remains valid what China appreciates
4/6

CHALLENGES:
US policy on China remains the same
Democratic Party pays more attention to values and norms such as human rights and international law
High possibility on transatlantic cooperation (and coordination) on China
5/6

Biden administration will cooperate closely with its Asian allies
Biden may consider US return to the TPP
US stance on 5G and Huawei will remain unchanged
6/6