#FPL #GW9 CAPTAINCY THREAD

Picked KANE in GW8, so

1) FERNANDES v WBA

Joint 2nd for pts in GW5-8 (33, Kane 36), 17 v EVE
PENS, on form, always involved
WBA 1st for Expected Goals Conceded (xGC), joint 1st with LEE for goals conceded (17) since GW1

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1) FERNANDES v WBA (cont.)

WBA joint 1st with LEE for big chances conceded (20) since GW1
WBA conceded 19 shots v TOT in GW8,but

WBA held TOT to 0-0 for 88 min
In GW5-8, WBA defence improving:
7th for xGC (down from 1st)
Conceded just 4 goals, same as TOT & CHE

2) RASHFORD v WBA

6th highest non-Pen xG in GW5-8
With Shaw out & Telles at LB, Rashford may cut in more
Could've scored v EVE, inches away from stealing Fernandes' 2nd goal

No set piece threat (just 1 corner all season)
Could split open play chances with Martial

3) GREALISH v BHA

2nd highest non-Pen xG90 in GW5-8, just behind Bamford, ahead of Werner Vardy Mane Rashford DCL
1st for xA in GW5-8 (2.39, ahead of Ziyech 1.83 Zaha 1.82)
In GW5-8, AVL 2nd for xG (behind LIV)

AVL lost 3-0 to LEE tho (inconsistency?)

3) GREALISH v BHA (cont.)

Since GW2, BHA are 2nd lowest for xGC - in the 2-1 defeat to Spurs, conceded just 3 SoT

But BHA are LAST for number of saves, and have conceded 14G from just 22 SoT (by comparison, FUL have conceded 15G from 47 SoT) = they concede cheap goals

4) ZIYECH v NEW

Highest big chance created (4, ahead of Grealish & Neto on 3), highest xA (1.8, ahead of Grealish on 1.7) in GW7-8
Scored 3G during IB
Sharing set pieces

GW5-8, NEW are
1st for SoT conceded
Joint 2nd highest goals conceded
6th for xGC (WBA 8th)

4) ZIYECH v NEW (cont.)

CHE top scorers (20) since GW1
NEW can defy expectations: held TOT 1-1, beat EVE 2-1 in GW8

5) WERNER v NEW

3rd non-Pen xG in GW5-8 (behind Grealish,Bamford)
4G 1A in GW5-8
Pens
Could score Ziyech's chances

Stuck at LW @SofaScoreINT

6) CHILWELL v NEW

1st non-Pen xG for defs since GW5
2nd key pass for defs since GW5 (8, behind Cancelo on 11)

No corner/FKs from GW7

Since GW2, NEW are LAST for:
Shots - 49 (SHU 19th with 56)
SoT 18
SiTB 28

CHE lowest for xGC since GW2

Captaining a defender

7) CALVERT-LEWIN v FUL

DCL 2nd for non-Pen xG since GW2 (behind Bamford), 7th since GW5 (despite Richarlison being out)
Richa return should increase chances
FUL 4th highest xGC (NEW 6th, WBA 8th)
Uncertainty if EVE poor form due to just Richa being out or wider issues

8) VARDY v LIV

Vardy 4th for non-Pen xG in GW5-8
LIV missing Gomez, VVD, TAA
5 of Vardy's 8 goals this season are penalties

9) MANE v LEI

5th highest non-Pen xG in GW5-8 (1.9) ahead of Salah (9th, 1.71)
Injuries may hamper LIV, LEI conceded just 2 G in GW5-8

10) ZAHA v BUR

Playing OOP as fwd, 4th for pts for mids behind Son Salah Grealish
On pens so far this season (watch out for Mili/PVA)
Burnley conceded 19 shots v BHA in GW8 (only SHU conceded more,20 v CHE)

CRY defensive, 4th lowest shots since GW2 (but beat LEE 4-1)

11) AUBAMEYANG v LEE

Since GW5-8, LEE have
conceded joint most goals in GW5-8 (9, together with EVE)
3rd worst xGC, behind EVE & SHU

But in that time, ARS have

Just 1 goal (Auba's pen v MUN)
5th worst xG in GW5-8

And AUBA has a non-Pen xG of 0.04 in GW5-8

12) KANE / SON

Kane & Son 1st, 2nd for pts
Could be lethal on counter (see games v MUN, SOU)

13) DE BRUYNE / STERLING

City much improved v LIV, but underlying numbers average

Unpredictable fixture, MCI & TOT focusing more on defence recently, cld be tight

14) OUR PICKS

WERNER - NEW def poor, CHE attack
FERNANDES - Form pick, but WBA may be tough to break
ZIYECH - Same as Timo, w/o pens
GREALISH - AVL inconsistent

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