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This was not sudden.
I’ve commented on this article already, but I can’t help venting about the supposed “mystery of Bristol's soaring Covid-19 infection rate”.
There’s nothing “sudden” about it for those who’ve been paying attention. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1329586336131584001
I’ve commented on this article already, but I can’t help venting about the supposed “mystery of Bristol's soaring Covid-19 infection rate”.
There’s nothing “sudden” about it for those who’ve been paying attention. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1329586336131584001
Over 2 months ago it was possible to see exponential growth in Bristol in the NHS Pathways data: https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1306734187463012352
And the exponential growth in positive cases in Bristol was very clear over a month ago: https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1319813459962376192
And strangely, badging our response Tier 1+ & introducing a few extra Covid marshalls didn’t stem the growth, and it was soon apparent that south west hospitalisations were on a similar trajectory to that which the north had followed several weeks earlier. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1321157612830969857
Not *exactly* the same trajectory, because the south west (largely driven by Bristol) was growing faster than the north west had. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1323826459123851265
When I told the local paper that Bristol’s response had been far too complacent, it wasn't because I like criticising those who are doing a tough job (honestly!)
It was because this has been a slow motion car crash -- the very opposite of “sudden”. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1323319849674809352
It was because this has been a slow motion car crash -- the very opposite of “sudden”. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1323319849674809352
By the beginning of November my frustration may have led me to be slightly intemperate, or at least rather more *strident*. But I had been expressing concern about what was happening in Bristol for a couple of months. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1323994632854929408
I've recently ranted about specific misconceptions that delayed proper consideration of what was happening in Bristol. https://twitter.com/ProfColinDavis/status/1328779220709994496?s=20
Now, obviously, there were others in Bristol who did a much better job trying to sound the alarm (though with the same limited success). My pal/colleague Gary Foster warned for months about the likely consequences of bringing uni students back to Bristol. https://twitter.com/Prof_GD_Foster/status/1312861988805017602
And now, of course, Gary and his wife have both tested positive. (Let's hope they both recover rapidly). https://twitter.com/Prof_GD_Foster/status/1328985672666001409
So please forgive me for saying this one more time, and then I’ll shut up.
THIS. WAS. NOT. SUDDEN.
THIS. WAS. NOT. SUDDEN.
