Due to administrative delays in death certificate processing, today’s #COVID19 death toll actually reflects persons who died 3-6 weeks ago. That means:

250,000 U.S. persons died of #COVID19 *as of 3-6 weeks ago*

Let that sink in.
What happens over 3-6 weeks?
🔸0-2 weeks to file application for a death certificate (longer if autopsy required, funeral home backlog, etc.)

🔸1-3 weeks to process application at the state and/or local level

🔸0-1 weeks to prepare and report

see also: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-the-numbers
💯 could not have said it better myself https://twitter.com/embryethan/status/1329259712488083457
Another way to think about what this all means is that, in a few weeks, we'll be dealing with:

"ONE SEPTEMBER 11th’s WORTH OF DEATHS EVERY SINGLE DAY." https://twitter.com/jinterlandi/status/1329287041390157824
If we do nothing, by inauguration day:
🔸2100+ daily *reported* deaths
🔸360K+ total *reported* deaths

***BUT*** that’s not fully accounting for people who will move forward with in-person Thanksgiving, etc.

source: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america

#WearAMask and opt for a #Zoomsgiving https://twitter.com/tlynnmichaels/status/1329470348673249286
This is a great visualization of the administrative delay in death reporting for the state of Florida.

Notice how, even within a single state, the delay gets longer and shorter over time. https://twitter.com/jasonsalemi/status/1329614496181063680
You can follow @DataDrivenMD.
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