Due to administrative delays in death certificate processing, today’s #COVID19 death toll actually reflects persons who died 3-6 weeks ago. That means:
250,000 U.S. persons died of #COVID19 *as of 3-6 weeks ago*
Let that sink in.
250,000 U.S. persons died of #COVID19 *as of 3-6 weeks ago*
Let that sink in.
What happens over 3-6 weeks?
0-2 weeks to file application for a death certificate (longer if autopsy required, funeral home backlog, etc.)
1-3 weeks to process application at the state and/or local level
0-1 weeks to prepare and report
see also: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-the-numbers



see also: https://www.cdc.gov/nchs/nvss/covid-19.htm#understanding-the-numbers

Another way to think about what this all means is that, in a few weeks, we'll be dealing with:
"ONE SEPTEMBER 11th’s WORTH OF DEATHS EVERY SINGLE DAY." https://twitter.com/jinterlandi/status/1329287041390157824
"ONE SEPTEMBER 11th’s WORTH OF DEATHS EVERY SINGLE DAY." https://twitter.com/jinterlandi/status/1329287041390157824
If we do nothing, by inauguration day:
2100+ daily *reported* deaths
360K+ total *reported* deaths
***BUT*** that’s not fully accounting for people who will move forward with in-person Thanksgiving, etc.
source: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
#WearAMask
and opt for a #Zoomsgiving https://twitter.com/tlynnmichaels/status/1329470348673249286


***BUT*** that’s not fully accounting for people who will move forward with in-person Thanksgiving, etc.
source: https://covid19.healthdata.org/united-states-of-america
#WearAMask

This is a great visualization of the administrative delay in death reporting for the state of Florida.
Notice how, even within a single state, the delay gets longer and shorter over time. https://twitter.com/jasonsalemi/status/1329614496181063680
Notice how, even within a single state, the delay gets longer and shorter over time. https://twitter.com/jasonsalemi/status/1329614496181063680