I think this needs a thread. https://twitter.com/TradingComposur/status/1329153415885295617
1/x

The market doesn’t care about your need to perform.

If you trade long enough, you‘ll eventually see this pan out: sometimes you‘ll get a handful of losing months in a row, regardless of your strategy's expectancy and potential.

Mark down my words.
2/x

In fact, the yearly measure of performance that everybody takes for granted came from a necessity for fund managers to show their clients some sort of consistency in performance.

People are shortsighted―they want to see results fast or they bring their business elsewhere.
3/x

But this doesn't really take into account the nature of probabilities and distribution of outcomes.

Instead, it creates an illusion of control and certainty that's inherently not there.
4/x

So, personally, this is how I do things: my trading systems have an asymmetric risk-reward bent―I'm typically risking 1 to make 3, 4, or more.

I focus on trading those systems.

Over many-many trades, I generate more profits than losses―been pretty consistent at that.
5/x

So, to your question of how much you should be making per week to trade full time, I would say: what's your financial cushion?

How much do you have on the side in case you have 2-3 losing months―or even a full year?

Can you even stomach it?
6/6

Sorry for rambling, this is written on the go, but these are the questions you need to ask yourself.

I hope it's helpful.
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