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I did some back-of-the-napkin calculations. This is enough to vaccinate 1.2 million people (both require two doses.) That's more than enough for every LTC worker and resident, retirement home resident, nurse, doctor and teacher in the province. Thread. https://twitter.com/ColinDMello/status/1329092566948593664
About 100,000 Ontarians work in long-term care and 78,000 live in LTC. https://www.ontario.ca/page/long-term-care-staffing-study#:~:text=System%20overview,level%20of%20care%20and%20services.
About 60,000 Ontarians live in retirement homes. (That figured is buried in this report from the regulator for retirement homes in the province.) https://www.rhra.ca/wp-content/uploads/2020/09/20192020-RHRA-Annual-Report-FINAL.pdf
There are about 160,000 registered nurses, registered practical nurses and nurse practitioners in Ontario, per @CIHI_ICIS https://www.cihi.ca/sites/default/files/document/nursing-report-2019-en-web.pdf
The @OntariosDoctors represents about 43,000 practicing doctors, retired doctors and medical students in the province.
There are about 128,000 teachers in Ontario. http://www.edu.gov.on.ca/eng/educationfacts.html#:~:text=In%202018%2D2019%2C%20there%20were,treatment%2C%20custody%20and%20correctional%20facilities.
Vaccinating the above groups gets us to 569,000 people. That leaves a significant amount for other groups at high risk of severe disease. The order of who gets vaccinated first is yet to be firmly determined, but there are recommendations here. https://www.theglobeandmail.com/canada/article-experts-advising-ottawa-identify-priority-groups-for-covid-19-vaccine/
Upshot: If Ontario succeeds in efficiently rolling out this first tranche of vaccines (and that remains a big if) our #COViD19 situation will be vastly improved by the spring. Hang on, everyone! We can do this.
