1/ Unlike in past elections, where most of the country shifts marginally to one candidate or another, this one saw a hardening of the electorate. @nprpolitics @nprpolitics @NPR Map by @shmcminn https://www.npr.org/2020/11/18/935730100/how-biden-won-ramping-up-the-base-and-expanding-margins-in-the-suburbs
How Biden Won: Ramping Up The Base And Expanding Margins In The Suburbs

Remarkably few counties shifted in the 2020 election, which saw sky-high turnout. The president's base voted in big numbers in rural areas, but Biden's gains in the suburbs propelled him to victory.

https://www.npr.org/2020/11/18/935730100/how-biden-won-ramping-up-the-base-and-expanding-margins-in-the-suburbs
2/ Blue areas became bluer and red areas become redder for the most part. (We note that results are still coming in in NY, so the red dots in NYC/LI may change.) The one place where some persuasion was evident was in D-leaning suburban areas, like outside Philadelphia and Atlanta
3/ So Trump's theory of the case, that he could turn out more of his voters worked, but Biden offset that with improvements in the suburbs, which propelled him to victory, the ability to flip 5 states and double Clinton's 2016 popular vote margin from almost 3m to 6m.
4/ We looked at the 3,000+ counties for how the margins shifted from 2016 --> 2020, and @connjie found far fewer changed hands this year than in past elections.

2016: 237 flipped, 216 went Obama --> Trump
2020: just 77 flipped, 59 went Trump --> Biden
5/ We also took a deep dive into the 5 states that went red to blue to show how it was done. GFX by @connjie

ARIZONA
Biden +104.8k margin gain in urban/suburban areas
Trump +3.2k in rural
6/ MICHIGAN
Biden +177.9k urban/suburban
Trump +22.1k rural
7/ PENNSYLVANIA
Biden +154.8k urban/suburban
Trump +37.7k rural
8/ WISCONSIN
Biden +66.5k urban/suburban
Trump +23.1k rural
9/ GEORGIA
Biden +277.8k urban/suburban
Trump +52.7k rural
You can follow @DomenicoNPR.
Tip: mention @twtextapp on a Twitter thread with the keyword “unroll” to get a link to it.

Latest Threads Unrolled:
Those who think consciousness raising & movement building are disconnected, or even a distraction from electoral politics have not paid attention to the history of social change.In this thread, we
Read more
The 2020s will be known as the Remote Work decadeA few predictions of what is likely to emerge[ a thread ] Third Space: Office and Working from Home will
Read more
1/29: Have you ever had a concept explained to you that helps frame complex issues you’ve been wrestling with and opens your eyes to new possibilities? A concept that I
Read more
By continuing to use the site, you are consenting to the use of cookies as explained in our Cookie Policy to improve your experience.